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Multi-Moving-Average Trend Entries with ADX and Volatility Exits

Article Strategy library · Author: ChaoZhang

Summary

This BTC futures strategy combines 5-, 25-, and 75-period simple moving averages with ADX and a sudden-move exit. A crossover of the fast and intermediate averages triggers a long or short entry only when price is on the matching side of the 75-period average and ADX is above 20. An opposite entry signal or a close-price move exceeding 0.6% from the prior bar closes an open position.

The document explains the indicator logic, lists possible refinements such as ATR-based volatility thresholds, and identifies risks from ranging markets, lag, and parameter choice. It supplies a backtest configuration for two-hour BTC/USDT futures bars over October 2024, but gives no performance results. The sudden-move rule is presented as profit-taking, yet it has no direction test, so it can also close a position after an adverse move. The description also does not specify separate stop-loss levels or position sizing.

Key ideas

  • A 5-period and 25-period SMA crossover supplies the entry signal.
  • The 75-period SMA and an ADX reading above 20 filter trade direction and trend strength.
  • A close-price change greater than 0.6% from the prior bar triggers position closure.
  • Ranging conditions, lag, sudden reversals, and parameter sensitivity are stated risks.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.