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Previous-Day Breakouts with EMA and Chaikin Money Flow Filters

Article Strategy library · Author: ChaoZhang

Summary

This strategy trades breaks of the prior day's high or low, with a 24-period EMA and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) used to confirm direction. A long signal requires price to cross above the previous high, close above the EMA, and have positive CMF; a short signal uses the opposite conditions at the previous low. The source also plots 200-period EMAs on the chart and hourly timeframe, though the written entry rules do not make them filters.

The document argues that combining breakout levels, trend direction, and volume-weighted money flow may help screen entries. Its published settings show a one-month BTC futures test on hourly bars, but no performance statistics are provided, so the settings alone do not demonstrate effectiveness. The stated risks include false signals in ranges, delayed or missed breakouts, and large drawdowns in volatile markets. Suggested improvements include explicit stops, volatility and market-condition filters, position management, and broader testing.

Key ideas

  • The prior day's high and low serve as breakout levels for long and short entries.
  • A 24-period EMA and the sign of CMF confirm the direction of each breakout.
  • The code plots 200-period EMAs, but the described entry rules do not use them as filters.
  • The published one-month BTC futures test provides no results, and the document flags range-bound and volatile markets as risks.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.