Pricing a Cubic Stock Payoff with a Power Numeraire
Summary
The question asks how to price a European payoff that equals the positive part of the stock price cubed minus its square. Although the payoff can be written as the stock price squared times a call-like term with strike one, applying the ordinary Black–Scholes call formula directly misses the squared multiplier and does not capture the changed pricing measure.
The answer presents several approaches, including static replication via the Carr–Madan framework and an Ito–Tanaka local-time expression, but identifies the power-numeraire method as simplest. Taking the squared stock price as numeraire changes measure; under that measure, the remaining call-like payoff can be priced with a Black–Scholes expression using the specified adjusted drift. The discussion assumes a strictly positive stock following the stated diffusion and says deterministic carry can be added. The replication route involves distributional derivatives and may be awkward in practice, including potential slippage.
Key ideas
- The payoff factors into the squared stock price times a call-like payoff with strike one.
- The ordinary call formula alone does not price the full payoff under the original measure.
- Using the squared stock as numeraire transforms the remaining term into a call valuation under a new measure.
- Carr–Madan replication and an Ito–Tanaka expression are alternatives, though the replication calculation is cumbersome.
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Full text
# Black and Scholes pricing
# Black and Scholes pricing
I want to price B&S with $S_t$ stock price that has payoff, $h(S_T)=(S_T^3-S_T^2)^+$. Would it be wrong if I solved as $(S_T^3-S_T^2)^+\implies (S_T^3\geq S_T^2) \implies (S_T\geq 1) \implies (S_T-1)^+$ and use regular B&S formula with $K=1$? I am assuming $S_t$ positive since exponential. However, I seem to get different answer if I used discounted method of payoff for call price, i.e. $c_t=e^{-rt}h(S_T)$ and put price by call-put parity. Which is correct?
## Answer by user34971 (score 7)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/50657
At least two ways to price this:
- Use Carr-Madan
- Use $S^2$ as a (power) numeraire, in which case you can price the payoff $(S_T - 1)_+$ under the power numeraire measure.
EDIT:
- Put-call symmetry.
Maybe I can get another -1 for my answer. Is the purpose of answering questions here to do homework for someone else or to stimulate further study and generate discussion?
EDIT2: I just saw this question has been bumped up by the community, and I notice that I was in a rather foul mood when I wrote my answer above (apologies). Please bear with me, I will write a more extended answer shortly.
EDIT3: Details to answers:
Let $$dS_t = \sigma S_t dW_t $$ Generalization to deterministic carry is straightforward.
Ad 1. Carr-Madan:
Please see here for the Carr-Madan formula. Since $S_t$ is strictly positive, we can write $$ f(x) = (x^3-x^2)_+ = x^2 (x-1)_+ $$ We therefore need to calculate $f'(x)$ and $f''(x)$. So, $$ f'(x) = (3x^2 - 2x) \theta(x-1) $$ where $\theta(\cdot)$ is the Heaviside / step function. And $$ f''(x) = (6x -2) \theta(x-1) + (3x^2 -2x)\delta(x-1) $$ with $\delta(\cdot)$ the Dirac delta function. Plug all this into the Carr-Madan formula and you obtain the replicating portfolio and hence the price for the claim. However, there are some discontinuities, so it's a bit messy (i.e. in theory it works, in practice there will be slippage).
Ad 2. Power numeraire:
Let $N_t = S_t^2$ which is a strictly positive process. We will use $N_t$ as numeraire. Its process is $$ dN_t = \sigma^2 N_t dt + 2\sigma N_t dW_t $$ Hence, the process $S_t / N_t = 1/S_t$ satisfies $$ d(S_t/N_t) = d(1/S_t) = (\sigma^2 / S_t) dt - (\sigma / S_t) dW_t $$ To find a change of measure that makes $S_t/N_t$ a martingale is the same as finding the change of measure that turns $1/S_t$ into a martingale, which is $$ dW = \widetilde{dW} + \sigma dt $$ Under this new measure, $$ dS = \sigma^2 S dt + \sigma S \widetilde{dW} $$ Hence, the price of the claim is $$ E_t(S_T^3 - S_T^2) = S_t^2 \widetilde{E_t} (S_T - 1)_+ $$ where the expectation on the right hand side is now under the power measure. But $\widetilde{E_t} (S_T - 1)_+$ is just the Black-Scholes formula with a drift equal to $\sigma^2$ and strike equal to $1$.
Ad 3. Put-call symmetry
I cannot for the life of me recall or understand now what I meant :-D As my foul moods are highly correlated to brain-farts (although I am not sure what the exact causal relationship is), it is highly likely it was a brain-fart. However, to atone somewhat for my sins here is another method:
3'. Local-time method
Using the Ito-Tanaka formula, we can write $$ E_t (S_T^3-S_T^2)_+ = (S_t^3-S_t^2)_+ + \frac{\sigma^2}{2} E_t \left( \int_t^T f''(S_u) S_u^2 du \right) $$ with $f''(S_u)$ as in $f''(x)$ above. I am not sure this can be simplified further - need to think about it more.
In any case, the power-numeraire method (2) appears to be the simplest among the three methods.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.