Pricing a Discrete Geometric Asian Call with a Lognormal Reduction
Summary
The document derives a pricing shortcut for a discrete geometric Asian call under risk-neutral geometric Brownian motion. It expresses the geometric average of fixing prices as a lognormal random variable by summing the log prices, then identifies the mean and variance of that sum. The payoff can therefore be valued with the standard lognormal call expectation, avoiding a lengthy direct integration of the average's density.
The response sketches the reduction by writing each underlying price in exponential Brownian form and collecting the observation dates' drift and Brownian terms. It does not fully work through the resulting option formula or reconcile all notation in the question's proposed parameters. The result depends on the assumed price dynamics and fixing schedule; the excerpt provides no numerical example or comparison with arithmetic Asian pricing.
Key ideas
- The logarithm of a discrete geometric average is a sum of log prices.
- Under geometric Brownian motion, that sum is normally distributed, so the average is lognormal.
- The variance comes from the covariance among Brownian values at the fixing dates.
- A geometric Asian call can be valued using a standard lognormal call expectation.
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# Discrete geometric asian option call price formula
# Discrete geometric asian option call price formula
I am looking to derive the call price of an asian option of the form $$\max\{A_T - K, 0\}$$ with $$A_T = \left(\prod_{i=1}^nS_{t_i}\right)^\frac{1}{n}$$ which has price under $\mathbb{Q}$ $$e^{-rT}[S_0e^{\mu_nT} \Phi(d_n) - K \Phi(d_n - \sigma_n \sqrt{T})]$$ where $\Phi$ is a standard normal and \begin{align} \mu_n & = (r-0.5\sigma^2) \frac{n+1}{2n}+0.5\sigma_n^2\\ \sigma_n^2 & = \frac{\sigma^2(n+1)(2n+1)}{6n^2}\\ d_n & = \frac{\ln (S_0/K) + (\mu_n +0.5\sigma_n^2)T}{\sigma_n \sqrt{T}} \end{align} I have tried splitting the expectation : \begin{alignat*}{2}\Pi_0&=e^{-rT}\mathbb{E}^\mathbb{Q}[\max\{A_T-K, 0\}|\mathcal{F}_0]\\ & = e^{-rT} \mathbb{E}^\mathbb{Q}[(A_T-K) \mathbb{1}_{A_T > K}|\mathcal{F}_0]\\ &= e^{-rT}\left( \mathbb{E}^\mathbb{Q}[A_T \mathbb{1}_{A_T > K}|\mathcal{F}_0]- \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}[K \mathbb{1}_{A_T > K}|\mathcal{F}_0]\right) \end{alignat*} \begin{split} \mathbb{E}^\mathbb{Q}[A_T\mathbb{1}_{A_T > K}|\mathcal{F}_0]&=\int_K^\infty A f(A) dA\\ &=\int_{K}^\infty A \frac{1}{A \sigma_n \sqrt{2 \pi T}}\exp\left\{-\frac{(\log(A) -\left(\log(S_0) + \left((r - 0.5\sigma^2)\frac{n+1}{2n}T \right) \right)^2}{2 \sigma_n^2T}\right\}dA \end{split} and \begin{split} \mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}[K \mathbb{1}_{A_T > K}|\mathcal{F}_0] & = K \mathbb{E}^\mathbb{Q}[\mathbb{1}_{A_T > K}|\mathcal{F_0}]\\ &= K\mathbb{Q}(A_T > K)\\ &= K\mathbb{Q}\left(\exp\left\{\log(S_0) + \frac{n+1}{2}(r-0.5\sigma^2) \Delta_t + \sum_{i=1}^n \sigma_i Z_{n-i+1}\right\} > K\right) \end{split} with $Z_i \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$ and $\sigma_i=\frac{i\sigma}{n}\sqrt{\Delta_t}$ ($\Delta_t$ being the time between fixing periods). I think I'm on the right track but it seems like the calculations will be tedious. Is there a simpler way to do this ? I have so far proven the equality in the last part and derived the mean and variance which appear in the pdf.
## Answer by Kurt G. (score 1, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/68930
Hint (too long for a comment): If you write $$ S_t=S_0e^{rt+\sigma W_t-\frac{\sigma^2 t}{2}} $$ then $$ A_T=\left(\prod_{i=1}^nS_{t_i}\right)^\frac{1}{n}=S_0\exp\left(\frac{r}{n}\sum_{i=1}^nt_i+\frac{\sigma}{n}\sum_{i=1}^nW_{t_i}-\frac{\sigma^2}{2n}\sum_{i=1}^nt_i\right)\,. $$ This can be thought of a lognormal variable: $$ A_T=S_0e^{\alpha+\beta Y-\beta^2/2} $$ where $Y$ is standard normal,
$$ \alpha-\frac{\beta^2}{2}:=\frac{r}{n}\sum_{i=1}^nt_i-\frac{\sigma^2}{2n}\sum_{i=1}^nt_i $$ and $\beta^2$ is the variance of $$ \frac{\sigma}{n}\sum_{i=1}^nW_{t_i}\,. $$Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.