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Pricing a Logarithmic Stock Payoff in Black–Scholes

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Denis

Summary

The document asks how to price a European claim that pays the natural logarithm of a stock price at maturity, including the possibility of a negative payoff when the stock finishes below one. It presents the general risk-neutral valuation rule: discount the conditional expected payoff under the pricing measure. In the Black–Scholes setting, the stock’s log price is normally distributed, so the expectation can be evaluated by integrating the logarithmic payoff against that distribution.

A second answer applies the risk-neutral stock dynamics directly and derives a time-dependent value from the current stock price, interest rate, volatility, and time remaining. The replies illustrate both the general pricing framework and a payoff-specific calculation. They are informal learning answers, and one explicitly expresses uncertainty; assumptions such as constant rates and volatility and the precise interpretation of the payoff are not discussed in depth. Readers should verify the algebra and model conventions before applying the result.

Key ideas

  • A European payoff can be valued as the discounted conditional expectation of its terminal payoff under a risk-neutral measure.
  • Under Black–Scholes assumptions, the logarithm of the stock price has a normal distribution.
  • The Golden Logarithm payoff may be negative when the terminal stock price is below one.
  • The payoff-specific value depends on the current stock level, the risk-free rate, volatility, and remaining maturity.
  • The provided derivation is educational and should be checked against the model assumptions and payoff convention.

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Full text
# Arbirtage free price process question in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time


# Arbirtage free price process question in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time












I am currently working through questions in Bjork's Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time. However, I am unable to solve the following question, 7.2 in the book. A solution would be greatly appreciated.

Consider the Black Scholes model. A company has produced the derivative the Golden Logarithm, henceforth abbreviated as the GL. The holder of the GL with maturity time T, denoted as GL(T), will, at time T, obtain the sum lnS(T). Note that if S(T)<1 this means that the holder has to pay a positive amount to the company. Determine the arbitrage free price process for the GL(T)

## Answer by bcf (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/9838

In general, the arbitrage-free price process $V_t$ at time $0 \le t \le T$ for a European claim $X =f(S_T)$ under the B-S model (which it looks like you have) is given by

$$V_t(X) = B_t\mathbb{E}_\mathbb{Q}[B_T^{-1}X | \mathcal{F}_t],$$

where $B_t$ is the bond price process, $\mathbb{Q}$ is the measure making the discounted B-S stock price process a $\mathbb{Q}$-martingale, and $\mathcal{F}_t$ is the sigma field for the Brownian Motion. This might be the "process" the question asks for, but you would need to evaluate this expectation at each $t$ to actually use it.

Here's an example of computing the initial value using an arbitrary payoff at maturity, $X = f(S_T)$, so all you'll have to do is replace the $f$ with your logarithm payoff.

I assume you're familiar with the B-S stock price process under the risk-neutral Brownian motion, $S_t = S_0\exp(\sigma \widetilde{W}_t + (r - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)t)$, where $\widetilde{W}_t$ is a $\mathcal{N}(0, t)$-distributed random variable for fixed $t$ under the $\mathbb{Q}$ measure, $r$ is the risk-free rate and $\sigma$, the volatility. Note the argument of the exponential function is a $\mathcal{N}((r - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)t, \sigma^2 t)$-distributed random variable for fixed $t$.

Define the random variable $Y$ ~ $\mathcal{N}(-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2 T, \sigma^2 T)$. Then $S_T = S_0\exp(Y + rT)$, and letting $p(Y)$ denote the pdf of $Y$, from the formula for $V_t$ we have

$$V_0 = \mathbb{E}_\mathbb{Q}[\mathrm{e}^{-rT}f(S_0\exp(Y + rT))] \\ = \mathrm{e}^{-rT} \int_{-\infty}^\infty f(S_0\exp(y + rT))p(y)\mathrm{d}y \\ = \mathrm{e}^{-rT} \int_{-\infty}^\infty f(S_0\exp(y + rT))\frac{1}{\sqrt{2 \pi \sigma^2 T}}\exp\left(\frac{-(y + \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2T)^2}{2 \sigma^2 T}\right)\mathrm{d}y.$$

## Answer by J. D. (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/48605

I am also doing the same exercise. Let $GL(t,s)$ denote the value of the Golden Logarithm at time $t$ when the underlying stock has price $s$.

As in the answer by bcf, the Black-Scholes model gives: $$ GL(t,s) = e^{-r(T-t)}\mathbb{E}^Q[GL(T)]=e^{-r(T-t)}\mathbb{E}^Q[\log S(T)], $$ with expectation taken over the risk-free measure.

The stochastic process underlying the Black-Scholes model is: $$ \begin{align} dS &= rSdt + \sigma SdW \\ S(t) &= s \end{align}, $$ so that the stochastic process for the golden logarithm is: $$ \begin{align} d(GL)&=\left(r-\frac12 \sigma^2\right)dt + \sigma dW \\ GL(t)&=\log s \end{align}. $$ This process can be immediately integrated to: $$ GL(T) - \log s = \left(r-\frac12\sigma^2\right)(T-t) + \sigma\left(W(T)-W(t)\right). $$ Replacing this in the expectation above, we have $$ GL(t,s) = e^{-r(T-t)}\int_{-\infty}^\infty \left[\log s + \left(r-\frac12 \sigma^2\right)(T-t) + z\right] f(z) dz, $$ where $f(z)$ is the normal density with mean 0 and variance $\sigma^2(T-t)$. From this expression we can immediately conclude: $$ GL(t,s) = e^{-r(T-t)}\left[\log s + \left(r-\frac12\sigma^2\right)(T-t)\right]. $$ I hope this is right, but I am not sure as I am also learning this stuff.

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