Pricing a Putable Bond with an Equity-Linked Principal Payment
Summary
The discussion considers how to value a two-year bond with semiannual coupons, an early exit right after one year, and principal tied to the S&P index. One answer separates the fixed coupon payments from the index-linked payoff and applies risk-neutral valuation: discount expected future cash flows using discount factors. It argues that, under its simplifying assumptions, the index-linked principal is worth the current index value at either date, so exercising the put early does not improve the holder’s value. The suggested price is the present value of the coupons plus the current index level.
That conclusion depends on the assumed payoff and tradability of the index, and the answer simplifies the stated one-month averaging feature by treating the payoff as the index level at expiry. A second response questions ambiguities in the bond terms, including what is paid upon early exit and whether the put can be exercised once or repeatedly. The exchange illustrates that option valuation requires a precise payoff definition; it does not give a general model for credit risk or other contractual features.
Key ideas
- Risk-neutral pricing values a tradable payoff by discounting its expected payoff under the pricing measure.
- The response treats the index-linked principal as worth the current index value when discounted from its payment date.
- Under that assumption, early exercise does not add value relative to holding the bond.
- Averaging terms, exercise frequency, and the early-exit payment must be specified to price the contract reliably.
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Full text
# How to price this Bond
# How to price this Bond
I have below Bond -
```
Issue date : 1/1/2020
Principal 1,000
Coupon : 8% pa
Frequency : Semi-annual
Tenor: 2 years
```
This Bond has 2 specific characteristics -
- At the maturity NO principal will be paid
- After 1st year, Bond can be exited on 6/1/2021 (i.e. Put option attached)
Without the 2nd condition, this Bond can easily be priced using `discounted CF method`. However given that the 2nd option, how can I price this Bond?
Is there any software implementation to price this type of `Putable Bond`?
Modified based on StackG's comment
StackG pointed a lack of clarity on the payment upon premature exit, So I added the payoff profile of this bond as below -
- At the maturity principal will be paid based on the prevailing one month average of S&P index + last coupon
- After 1st year, Bond can be exited on 6/1/2021 (i.e. Put option attached). In that case, the prevailing one month average of S&P index as on 6/1/2021 will be paid + accrued coupon
How can I price this Putable Bond?
Your pointer will be highly appreciated.
Thanks for your time.
## Answer by StackG (score 2)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/57418
This bond pays four coupon cashflows of \$40 each at 6 month intervals. By themselves, that would be very easy to price from a discount curve, if there is no credit risk. The additional complication is the payoff of the principal, which pays the last month average of the SPX index. For simplicity, I'm going to assume throughout that it simply pays off the SPX value at expiry date, but it won't affect the result much.
Option pricing theory tells us that the price of a security is the discounted expectation of its payoff in the risk-neutral measure \begin{align} C(0) = \delta(0,t) \cdot {\mathbb E} \Bigl[ C(t)\Bigr] \end{align} where $\delta(0,t)$ is the discount factor at time $t$ and $C$ is the option price at the time (ie. $C(t)$ is the payoff at expiry)
Now this equation works for any tradable security, at any time (it says assets are forced to be martingales in the pricing measure, because otherwise arbitrageurs will come in and trade them until it is true). So assuming we can trade the SPX index (via ETFs or futures perhaps), it holds for the SPX index too, and reversing the order of the equation we have \begin{align} {\mathbb E} \Bigl[ SPX(t_2)\Bigr] = SPX(t_1) \cdot {\frac 1 {\delta(t_1,t_2)}} \end{align} which just says that our expected value of SPX at $t_2$, viewed from $t_1$, is just the spot value divided by the dcf
Now we need to think about our decision at $t_1$. We're faced with a choice of either receiving $SPX(t_1)$ straight-away, or else receiving $SPX(t_2)$ at $t_2$ and the two remaining coupon payments. But the value of the payment at $t_2$ is just $\delta(t_1, t_2) \cdot {\mathbb E} \Bigl[ SPX(t_2)\Bigr]$ which is just equal to $SPX(t_1)$, so it is NEVER a sensible decision to exercise the option at $t_1$
So you can simply price the option assuming it runs to expiry, the price is: \begin{align} \delta(0,0.5) c_{0.5} + \delta(0,1) c_1 + \delta(0, 1.5) c_{1.5} + \delta(0,2) c_2 + SPX(0) \end{align}
## Answer by Stephen Chant (score 1)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/57389
i find the modification very confusing and so different from the original question. how did the S&P 500 come into this? it's hard to confuse "no principal paid" in BOLD with principal is paid based at least partially on S&P 500.. i think OP needs to rethink the question/idea.
one minor question for clarification: is the put option a one-time privilege? or can it be exercise anytime on or after key date?
one thing i notice is if you put early, you are giving up a bond with a variable value (like a convertible bond)....... i believe you might look into numiere (correct term?)
and it is hard to get away from explicitly modelling the 2 year to 1 year interest rate.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.