Pricing an Integral-of-Spot Claim Under Risk-Neutral Valuation
Summary
The document asks how to price two claims under Black–Scholes: one paying the time integral of the asset price and another paying the squared log of its terminal price. For the integral claim, the answers use discounted risk-neutral expectation and interchange expectation with integration. They use the risk-neutral forward expectation of the asset price at each time to obtain a closed-form value, and one answer emphasizes that this valuation does not require Black–Scholes specifically.
The discussion does not complete the calculation for the squared-log payoff, despite suggesting a similar approach. The integral-claim result relies on the stated risk-neutral asset-price expectation and discounting assumptions; the document does not discuss dividends, alternative carry, or the conditions behind the model-free claim. It is therefore a focused illustration of valuing an accumulated spot payoff, rather than a complete treatment of both claims.
Key ideas
- A claim paying the time integral of the asset price can be valued as a discounted risk-neutral expectation.
- Interchanging integration and expectation reduces the calculation to expected asset prices at each time.
- The stated integral-claim value follows from the risk-neutral forward expectation of the asset price.
- The second claim's squared-log payoff is raised but not actually priced in the answers.
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Full text
# Time-zero price of two specific contingent claims
# Time-zero price of two specific contingent claims
I am unsure how to start with the following problem.
I have two contingent claims where contingent claim (1) pays $\int_0^T S_u du$ and contingent claim (2) pays $(\log S_T)^2$ at time $T$
Now I would like to use the Black-Scholes model to get their time-zero prices
Using the BS formula $C(S_0,K,\sigma,r,T)=S_0\Phi(d_1)-Ke^{-rT}\Phi(d_2)$ with $d_1=d_2+\sigma\sqrt{T}, d_2=\frac{\log{K/S_0}-(r-\frac{1}{2} \sigma^2)T}{\sigma\sqrt{T}}$
where I can I include the expressions from above?
## Answer by math (score 3, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/10051
Assuming the filtration is generated by Brownian Motion, you know that the price of a contingent claim is just the expectation under the risk neutral measure $Q$. Hence for the first one
$$E_Q[\int_0^TS_udu]$$
where $S$ has the dynamic: $S_t=S_0e^{\sigma W^Q_t-(\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2-r)t}$, where $W^Q_t=W_t+\frac{\mu-r}{\sigma}$ is the Girsanov chagned Brownian Motion. Hence $S_t$ has a lognormal distribution under $Q$. Therefore $S_t>0$ and you can use Fubinis Theorem to interchange the order of integration:
$$e^{-rT}\int_0^T S_0E_Q[S_u]du=S_0\int_0^Te^{-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2u+\frac{1}{2}\sigma^2u+ru}du=\frac{1}{r}e^{-rT}S_0(e^{rT}-1)=\frac{1}{r}S_0(1-e^{-rT})$$
You can approach the second one in the exact same way.
## Answer by wsw (score 2)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/10052
I think we can compute the price of the first contingent claim at time 0 without using any models (e.g., Black-Scholes). For the first claim, $$ V_0 = e^{-r T} \mathbb{E}^Q \left[ \int_0^T S_u \; du\middle \vert \cal{F}_0\right] = e^{-r T} \int_0^T \mathbb{E}^Q \left[ S_u \middle \vert \cal{F}_0\right] du \; . $$ Since the price of a forward that matures at time $T$ is $\mathbb{E}^Q \left[ S_T \middle \vert \cal{F}_0\right] = S_0 e^{rT}$, I get $$ V_0 = \frac{S_0}{r} \left( 1-e^{-rT}\right) \; . $$ I want to stress again that this result is model-free.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.