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Proving Independence of Brownian Motion Increments

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Frank Swanton

Summary

The document considers whether the Brownian motion value at an earlier time is independent of the increment over a later interval. It rejects a proposed telescoping-sum argument that establishes only zero covariance: uncorrelated random variables are not necessarily independent. This distinction is central when reasoning about stochastic processes and their increments.

The answer assumes the Brownian motion property that future increments are independent of the information available at the earlier time. Since the earlier Brownian value belongs to that information, the result follows. The proof uses conditional expectation and exponential moments to factor the joint moment generating function into the product of its marginal functions, which establishes independence under the stated theorem. The discussion is mathematical rather than a trading strategy, and it relies on the independent-increments condition as part of the Brownian motion setup. It is useful background for stochastic modeling, but does not provide empirical finance evidence or discuss market applications.

Key ideas

  • Zero covariance alone does not establish independence between two random variables.
  • The Brownian value at the earlier time is measurable with respect to the information available then.
  • Independent future increments imply independence from that earlier information.
  • Conditional expectation factors the joint exponential moment into marginal terms, giving an independence proof.

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Full text
# Showing BM $W(s)$ is independent of $W(t)-W(s)$


# Showing BM $W(s)$ is independent of $W(t)-W(s)$












Consider $0\leq s<t$ where $t,s$ represent time index.

I want to show a Brownian motion $W(s)$ is independent of $W(t)-W(s)$.

Specifically, show that $E[W(s)(W(t)-W(s))]=0$

Proof:

Writing $W(s)$ as a telescoping sum and using the definition $W(0)=0$,

$W(s)=W(s)-W(s-1)+W(s-1)-W(s-2)+...-W(1)+W(1)-W(0).$

You can do the same for $W(t)-W(s).$

Denote the telescoping series of $W(s)$ as A and $W(t)-W(s)$ as B.

Consider $E[W(s)(W(t)-W(s))]$.

This is $E[AB].$

But since $AB$ is simply a sum of cross product of indepdent increments and each increment is normally distributed with mean zero, $E[AB]=0$. QED.

Question.

- Is this proof correct?

- Is there an "easier" proof?

## Answer by user39119 (score 1, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/51081

In some books, what you want to prove is just part of the definition of the Brownian motion. In others, as part of the definition of the B.M., they give the following condition:

$$\text { for } 0 \leq s < t < \infty, W_t - W_s \ \text{is independent of } \mathscr{F}_s \tag*{(*)}$$ So, I'm assuming that given (*) you want to prove that the random variables $W_s$ and $W_t-W_s$ are independent.

Answer to your questions:

- No, your proof is not correct. If we have two random variables $X$ and $Y$, covariance$(X,Y)$=0 doesn't imply that $X$ and $Y$ are independent.

- A possible proof is the following. We will need the following theorem.

> Theorem. [Kac's theorem] Let $X_1$ and $X_2$ be $\mathbb{R}$- valued random variables. Then the following statements are equivalent: (i) $X_1$ and $X_2$ are independent. (ii) For all $\lambda_1, \lambda_2 \in \mathbb{R}$ $$Ee^{\lambda_1 X_1 > + \lambda_2 X_2} = E e^{\lambda_1 X_1} Ee^{\lambda_2 X_2}.$$

Proof ($W_t -W_s$ and $W_s$ are independent).

Let $a,b \in \mathbb R.$ Then \begin{align*} E[e^{aW_s+b(W_t-W_s)}]&=E[E[e^{aW_s+b(W_t-W_s)}|\mathscr{F}_s]] \tag*{tower property} \\ &=E[e^{aW_s} E[e^{b(W_t-W_s)}|\mathscr{F}_s]] \tag*{$W_s \in \mathscr{F}_s$} \\ &= E[e^{aW_s} E[e^{b(W_t-W_s)}]] \tag*{condition (*)} \\ &= E[e^{aW_s}] E[e^{b(W_t-W_s)}] \end{align*}

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.