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Quantifying a MACD, Bollinger Band, and Moving Average Strategy

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Summary

The note translates a discretionary technical approach into simple stock-selection rules. It excludes certain Chinese listing boards, ST-designated stocks, and stocks below or above stated market-cap limits. Entry requires price above the five-day moving average, MACD above zero, and price above the Bollinger middle band, with entry on a breakout. The trader typically holds about five stocks.

It also outlines a basic strategy-development process: start with a reasonable expectation, form an idea from market understanding and experience, define indicators and conditions quantitatively, combine those conditions into a strategy, and validate it on historical data. The document provides no test results or details on exit rules, position sizing, transaction costs, or how to avoid overfitting, so it describes an initial framework rather than a fully specified or validated system.

Key ideas

  • The stock universe excludes specified Chinese boards, ST stocks, and stocks outside the stated market-cap range.
  • Entry combines price above the five-day moving average, positive MACD, and price above the Bollinger middle band.
  • The described approach enters on a breakout and usually holds about five stocks.
  • Strategy development proceeds from a market hypothesis to explicit indicator rules and historical validation.

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.