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Reading Crypto Derivatives Sentiment Through Funding, Futures, and Options

Article Deribit Insights

Summary

This weekly market recap interprets BTC and ETH derivatives data alongside spot-market conditions. It connects weak spot prices and ETF outflows with futures trading below spot, neutral-to-negative perpetual funding, and options skew that favors puts. The report treats these signals as evidence of cautious or bearish positioning, while noting that futures bearishness had eased and put demand was less extreme than during the early-February selloff.

It also describes implied volatility falling after that selloff even though realized volatility remained elevated. BTC and ETH volatility term structures were compressed, while short-dated ETH skew and options sentiment remained particularly bearish. The report references risk-appetite indices, futures yields, volatility surfaces, and expiry smiles, but the supplied text contains no charts or underlying data series to inspect. These are descriptive snapshots rather than a tested trading strategy; the interpretations are time-specific and do not establish that the signals predict future prices.

Key ideas

  • Futures below spot and negative funding can indicate bearish positioning in crypto derivatives.
  • Put-favoring options skew reflects demand for downside protection.
  • Implied volatility fell after the selloff even as realized volatility remained relatively high.
  • The report presents market indicators as a weekly snapshot rather than evidence of predictive performance.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.