Reading SPX Convexity Spread and Ratio from Variance Swap Volatility
Summary
The document explains the interpretation of two volatility measures: the SPX convexity spread, defined as variance swap volatility minus at-the-money implied volatility, and the convexity ratio, defined as variance swap volatility divided by at-the-money implied volatility. Both compare a flat-volatility reference with a measure that reflects the broader implied-volatility surface.
The answer characterizes these measures as aggregate indicators of how skew and kurtosis affect total volatility relative to at-the-money volatility. The document gives no derivation, empirical examples, or guidance on how to use the measures in trading. Its explanation is therefore conceptual and brief; it does not establish how either indicator predicts market behavior or performs in a strategy.
Key ideas
- The convexity spread subtracts at-the-money implied volatility from variance swap volatility.
- The convexity ratio divides variance swap volatility by at-the-money implied volatility.
- Both measures summarize differences between flat volatility and volatility reflecting skew and kurtosis.
- The document provides no empirical evidence or trading rules for interpreting these indicators.
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Full text
# SPX Convexity Spread # SPX Convexity Spread In this report on volatility from BNP Paribas, https://globalmarkets.bnpparibas.com/r/Volatility_Express_20171128.pdf?t=BG3REXwMP3NZJRN7wY5Vt&stream=true it states on Page 10 that the SPX Convexity Spread is defined by Varswap - ATM IV. How does this work?? Also why do we care about SPX Convexity Ratio (= Varswap/ATM IV)? ## Answer by onlyvix.blogspot.com (score 3, accepted) https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/40196 You can think of both ( difference and ratio ) indicators as some aggregated measure of difference between flat vol (ATM vol) and "total vol" than includes skew and kurtosis effects.
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