Relating Delta-Hedged P&L Assumptions to Volatility Models
Summary
The document asks whether familiar models for an underlying asset can be derived from assumptions about the discounted profit and loss of a delta-hedged European option. It writes the hedged portfolio P&L in terms of the option payoff, initial premium, interest rates, and the underlying’s excess return, then asks what P&L properties might imply a model for the asset under a particular measure. Examples of candidate properties include expectations, variance, and higher moments.
The response gives a narrow characterization: a local-volatility model can be associated with continuous P&L and a delta hedge that reduces P&L variance to zero. It further states that Black–Scholes follows as the unique local-volatility model under time and spatial homogeneity assumptions. These are conceptual claims, not a derivation for Heston, SABR, or the other named models. The document does not specify a general method for recovering models from P&L objectives, so its scope is limited to the stated local-volatility and Black–Scholes connection.
Key ideas
- The question explores whether hedged-option P&L assumptions can determine a model for the underlying.
- The response links continuous P&L and a zero-variance delta hedge to local volatility.
- It characterizes Black–Scholes as the time-homogeneous and spatially homogeneous case within local volatility.
- No derivation is provided for stochastic-volatility models or for a general P&L-based model selection procedure.
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Full text
# How to, from various hypotheses on the P&L, get known models (BS, Heston etc ...)
# How to, from various hypotheses on the P&L, get known models (BS, Heston etc ...)
Usually models in quantitative finance are taught by giving, let's say, stochastic differential equations, initial conditions, and then pricing, under the model, various derivatives written on the underlying. Qualifying a model as good or bad wrt the pricing of a given derivative is often done by saying that the model captures, in a rather pertinent way, "quantities" the derivative is sensitive to. (For instance the Black-Scholes model would be bad to price forward starting options as it fails, least to say, to capture movements of the forward implied volatility.) Then, we can compute the discounted P&L of the porfolio consisting in the sold derivative and underlyings (corresponding to a delta-hedge of the derivative).
Now consider a european option of pay-out function $\varphi$ and maturity $T$ written on a (tradable) underlying $S$. Consider the aforementioned portfolio associated to this option and note $\Delta_t$ the number of shares that we have in the portfolio at time $t$. We can write (and it's quite classic) the discounted P&L of the portfolio over the options's lifetime as $$P\&L_0 = -e^{-\int_0^T r_S ds} \varphi (S_T) + \pi_0 + \int_0^T e^{-\int_0^t r_s ds} \Delta_t \left( dS_t - S_t r_t dt\right)$$ where $\pi_0$ is the price we make a time $t=0$ on the option. Note that I only stress the dependance of $\Delta$ in time, but it can, of course, depend on anything else. Note also that $P\&L_0$ does not depend on any model specification for $S$.
My question is the following : without making any model hypothesis, that is, without specifying $dS_t$ or $r_t$, is there a correspondance
$$\{\textrm{set of hypotheses on $P\&L_0$}\}\to \{\textrm{models on $S$ under a certain measure}\}$$
such that for any given "known" model (BS, Heston, SABR, 3/2, 4/2, Bergomi's P1 etc) there exist a set of hypotheses on $P\&L_0$ (for instance on its expectation, its variance that one would like for instance to minimize, on its others moments etc under some measure or under another, or something else) that lead to the given model and the fondamental theorem of pricing associated to it ?
By lead I mean : wanting to prescrible/minimize some quantities associated to $P\&L_0$ will lead to functional equations (variational, in fact) on the function $\Delta$ that will lead to a PDE that will ultimately lead (through Feynman-Kac) to a model on $S$.
First of all : how to introduce dependance of $\Delta$ in a parameter (in $S$ for instance, to begin with, or later in realized variance) through assements/hypotheses on the $P\&L_0$ ? How to retrieve the Black-Scholes model ? Other models ?
## Answer by q.t.f. (score 3)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/38435
You can characterize local volatility (LV) models by the existence of a delta-hedging strategy which reduces the variance of P&L to zero, together with an assumption that P&L is a continuous process.
You can characterize the Black-Scholes (BS) model as the unique LV model with time homogeneity and spacial homogeneity. Under BS we have expected P&L at time $t $ of a payoff $\phi (S_T)$ is a function of $S_t $ and $T-t$ (time homogeneity).Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.