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Replicating a Bond Call with Two Bonds Under Deterministic Volatility

Article Quant Q&A · Author: koji

Summary

The document derives the price and hedge for a European call on a longer-maturity zero-coupon bond using two bonds as trading instruments. Under deterministic bond volatilities, the forward bond price is modeled as lognormal under the appropriate forward measure. The call value is expressed with the Black-style formula, using the ratio of bond prices as the forward price and integrated volatility of the difference between their volatilities.

For a self-financing hedge, the forward value changes with the call's sensitivity to that forward bond price. Converting this relation back to bond holdings gives a position in the underlying-maturity bond equal to the call delta and a corresponding position in the other bond that finances the forward exposure. The document includes a worked derivation, though parts of its posted reasoning are confused or redundant; the resulting strategy relies on the stated deterministic-volatility assumptions and does not address transaction costs or model risk.

Key ideas

  • The ratio of the two bond prices serves as the forward price for the bond underlying the call.
  • Integrated squared volatility of the difference between bond volatilities determines forward-price variance.
  • The bond call price follows a Black-style formula under deterministic volatility assumptions.
  • The hedge holds the underlying bond in proportion to the option's forward delta and adjusts the other bond to finance the position.

Tags

Full text
# Bond Option Hedging


# Bond Option Hedging












### (My question)

Please show me how to solve from (2) to (4) with computation processes. These are too difficult to solve.

## Thank you for your help in advance.

### (Cross-link)

I have posted the same question on https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/3347148/bond-option-hedging/3349320#3349320

### (Original questions)

Exercise 7.4 Bond Option Hedging

Consider a portfolio $(\xi^T_t, \xi^S_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$ made of two bonds with maturities $T$, S, and value \begin{eqnarray} V_t=\xi^T_t P(t, T) + \xi^S_t P(t, S) \end{eqnarray} at time $t$, and assume that it hedges the bond call option payoff $( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+$, so that we have \begin{eqnarray} V_t &=& E \left[ \exp \left( - \int^T_t r_s ds \right) \cdot ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ &=& P(t, T) E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \end{eqnarray}

(1) Assume that $( \sigma^T_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$ and $( \sigma^S_t)_{t \in [0, S]}$ are deterministic functions, show that the price of a bond option with strike $\kappa$ can be written as \begin{eqnarray} && E \left[ \exp \left( - \int^T_t r_s ds \right) \cdot ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \nonumber \\ && \qquad \qquad = P(t, T) E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ && \qquad \qquad = P(t, T) C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ && \qquad \qquad = P(t, T) C(X_t, \kappa, \sigma) \end{eqnarray} where $X_t$ is the forward price $X_t \equiv P(t, S)/P(t, T)$, \begin{eqnarray} v^2(t, T) = \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u - \sigma^T_u \right)^2 du \end{eqnarray} and $C(X_t, \kappa, \sigma)$ is a function to be determined. Recall that if $X$ is a centered Gaussian random variable with mean $m_t$ and variance $v^2_t$ given $\mathcal{F}_t$, we have \begin{eqnarray} E \left[ \left( e^X - K \right)^+ | \mathcal{F}_t \right] &=& e^{ m_t + v^2_t /2 } N \left( \frac{v_t}{2} + \frac{1}{v_t} \left( m_t + \frac{v^2_t}{2} - \log K \right) \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad - K N \left( - \frac{v_t}{2} + \frac{1}{v_t} \left( m_t + \frac{v^2_t}{2} - \log K \right) \right) \end{eqnarray} where $N(x)$, $x \in \mathbb{R}$, denotes the Gaussian distribution function, cf. Lemma 2.3.

(2) We assume that the portfolio $(\xi^T_t, \xi^S_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$ is self-financing, i.e. \begin{eqnarray} dV_t=\xi^T_t dP(t, T) + \xi^S_t dP(t, S) \end{eqnarray} Show that the forward portfolio price $\hat{V_t} \equiv V_t/P(t, T)$ satisfies

\begin{eqnarray} d\hat{V_t}=\frac{ \partial C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) }{ \partial x } d X_t. \end{eqnarray}

(3) Show that we have \begin{eqnarray} dV_t &=& \left( \hat{V_t} - \frac{ P(t, S) }{ P(t, T) } \frac{ \partial C( X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) }{ \partial x } \right) dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && + \frac{ \partial C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) }{ \partial x } dP(t, S) \end{eqnarray}

(4) Compute the hedging portfolio strategy $(\xi^T_t, \xi^S_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$ of the bond call option on $P(T, S)$.

## (1) My answer

- This dynamics of $dP(t, T)$ uses $\sigma^T_t$ as its volatility instead of $\zeta^T_t$ on the text page 89. Namely, the dynamics of $dP(t, T)$ is a same type of Exercise 7.3. Therefore, recall the result of Exercise 7.3.(1). On the other words, recall the results of Exercise 4.3.(5). Besides, $d B^T_t = d B_t - \sigma^T_t dt $. Or, recall Exercise 7.1.(4) and Exercise 7.1.(7). Exercise 7.1 uses $\zeta_t$ instead of $\zeta^T_t$ as the volatility on its dynamics of $dP(t, T)$. \begin{eqnarray} \frac{ dP(t, T)}{P(t, T)} &=& r_t dt + \sigma^T_t dB_t \\ \frac{P(T, S)}{P(T, T)}&=&\frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} \exp \left( \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u - \sigma^T_u \right) d B^T_u \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad \qquad \cdot \exp \left( - \frac{1}{2} \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u -\sigma^T_u \right)^2 du \right) \\ P(T, S)&=&\frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} \exp \left( \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u - \sigma^T_u \right) d B^T_u \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad \qquad \cdot \exp \left( - \frac{1}{2} \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u -\sigma^T_u \right)^2 du \right) \end{eqnarray}

- Let $m(t, T)$ and $v^2(t, T)$ as below. \begin{eqnarray} m(t, T) &=& \log \frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} - \frac{1}{2} \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u -\sigma^T_u \right)^2 du \\ v^2(t, T) &=& \left( \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u - \sigma^T_u \right) d B^T_u \right)^2 \\ &=& \int^T_t \left( \sigma^S_u - \sigma^T_u \right)^2 du \\ m(t, T) + \frac{ v^2(t, T) }{2} &=& \log \frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} \end{eqnarray}

- Substitute the above result into the expectation value. \begin{eqnarray} && E \left[ \exp \left( - \int^T_t r_s ds \right) \cdot ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \nonumber \\ && \qquad \qquad = E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ \frac{ P(t, T) }{ P(t, T) } \exp \left( - \int^T_t r_s ds \right) \cdot ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ && \qquad \qquad = P(t, T) E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ \frac{ 1 }{ P(T, T) } ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ && \qquad \qquad = P(t, T) E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \end{eqnarray}

- Recall the result of Exercise 7.1.(7). Here, let $m(t, T) =m$, $v(t, T)=v$, and $\kappa=K$. \begin{eqnarray} && E^{\mathbb{P}} \left[ \exp \left(- \int^T_t r_s ds \right) \cdot ( P(T,S) - K )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \nonumber \\ && \quad = P(t, T) e^{m+ v^2/2} N\left( v + \frac{m - \log K}{v} \right) -P(t, T) K N\left( \frac{m - \log K}{v} \right) \\ && \quad = P(t, T) \frac{P(t,S) }{P(t,T)} N\left( v - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{K \ P(t,T)} \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad -P(t, T) K N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{K \ P(t,T)}\right) \\ && \quad = P(t,S) N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{K \ P(t,T)} \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad -P(t, T) K N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{K \ P(t,T)}\right) \\ && \quad = P(t, T) \frac{ P(t,S) }{ P(t, T) } N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{K \ P(t,T)} \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad -P(t, T) K N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{K \ P(t,T)}\right) \\ && \quad = P(t, T) C\left( \frac{ P(t,S) }{ P(t, T) } , K, v \right) \\ && \quad = P(t, T) C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ && \quad = P(t, T) C(X_t, \kappa, \sigma) \end{eqnarray}

$\square$

(2) ??? This is too difficult to solve!

### Thank you for your help in advance.

## Answer by koji (score 2, accepted)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/47568

### I solved from (2) to (4) by myself !

### (2) My answer

- Use the result of (1) with keeping in mind that the following R.H.S is $\mathcal{F}_t $ measurable. \begin{eqnarray} V_t &=& E^{\mathbb{P}} \left[ \exp \left(- \int^T_t r_s ds \right) \cdot ( P(T,S) - K )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ &=& P(t, T) E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ &=& P(t, T) C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \end{eqnarray}

- Therefore, \begin{eqnarray} \hat{ V_t }&=& \frac{ V_t }{P(t, T)} \\ &=& E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \\ &=& C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \end{eqnarray}

- First, use It$\hat{o}$'s formula on the L.H.S. \begin{eqnarray} d \hat{ V_t }&=& 0 \ dt + d \hat{ V_t } + \frac{1}{2} \ 0 \ d [ \hat{ V_t }] \\ &=& d \hat{ V_t } \end{eqnarray}

- Second, recall the result of (1), $C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) $. \begin{eqnarray} C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) &=& \frac{ P(t,S) }{ P(t, T) } N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{\kappa \ P(t,T)} \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{\kappa\ P(t,T)}\right) \\ &=& X_t N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t}{\kappa } \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t }{\kappa }\right) \end{eqnarray}

- Third, use It$\hat{o}$'s formula on the R.H.S. \begin{eqnarray} d C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) &=& 0 \ ds + \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s + \frac{1}{2} \ 0 \ d [ X_s ] \\ \int^t_0 d C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) &=& \int^t_0 \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s \\ C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) &=& C(X_0, \kappa, v(0, T) ) \nonumber \\ && \qquad+ \int^t_0 \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s \\ &=& E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \nonumber \\ && \qquad + \int^t_0 \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s \end{eqnarray}

- Substitute the above result into $\hat{ V_t }$. \begin{eqnarray} \hat{ V_t }&=&C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ &=& E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] + \int^t_0 \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s \end{eqnarray}

- Moreover, \begin{eqnarray} E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] &=& E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \nonumber \\ && \qquad + \int^t_0 \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s \\ \int^t_0 \partial_x C(X_s, \kappa, v(s, T) ) dX_s &=&0 \end{eqnarray}

- Therefore, \begin{eqnarray} \hat{ V_t }&=&C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ &=& E^{ \tilde{\mathbb{P}} } \left[ ( P(T, S) - \kappa )^+ \middle| \mathcal{F}_t \right] \end{eqnarray}

- On the other hand, hence, \begin{eqnarray} \hat{ V_t } &=& C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ d \hat{ V_t } &=& d C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ &=& \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) dX_t \end{eqnarray}

$\square$

### (3) My answer

- Use It$\hat{o}$'s formula. \begin{eqnarray} d V_t &=& d (P(t, T) \cdot \hat{ V_t } ) \\ &=& \partial_t (P(t, T) \cdot \hat{ V_t } ) dt \nonumber \\ && \quad + \hat{ V_t } \partial_x P(t, T) |_{x=P(t,T)} dP(t,T) + P(t, T) \partial_y \hat{ V_t } |_{y=\hat{ V_t } } d \hat{ V_t } \nonumber \\ && \quad + \frac{1}{2} \hat{ V_t } \partial_{xx} P(t, T) |_{x=P(t,T)} d[ P(t,T) ] + \frac{1}{2} P(t,T) \partial_{yy} \hat{ V_t } |_{y=\hat{ V_t }} d[ \hat{ V_t } ] \nonumber \\ && \quad + \frac{1}{2} \partial_{xy} (P(t, T) \cdot \hat{ V_t } ) |_{x=P(t,T), y=\hat{ V_t }} d[ P(t,T) , \hat{ V_t } ] \nonumber \\ && \quad+ \frac{1}{2} \partial_{yx} (P(t, T) \cdot \hat{ V_t } ) |_{ y=\hat{ V_t }, x=P(t,T)} d[ \hat{ V_t }, P(t,T) ] \\ &=& \hat{ V_t }dP(t,T) + P(t, T) d \hat{ V_t } + d[ \hat{ V_t }, P(t,T) ] \end{eqnarray}

- Use the result of (2). \begin{eqnarray} d V_t &=& \hat{ V_t }dP(t,T) + P(t, T) d \hat{ V_t } + d[ \hat{ V_t }, P(t,T) ] \\ &=& \hat{ V_t }dP(t,T) + P(t, T) \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) dX_t \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) dP(t, T) dX_t \\ &=& \hat{ V_t }dP(t,T) - \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) X_t dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) X_t dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) P(t, T) dX_t \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) dP(t, T) dX_t \end{eqnarray}

- Here, one computes the dynamics of $P(t, S)$ using the definition of $X_t=P(t, S)/P(t, T)$ by It$\hat{o}$'s formula. \begin{eqnarray} d P(t, S) &=& d(X_t P(t, T)) \\ &=& \partial_t (X_t P(t, T)) dt \nonumber \\ && \quad + P(t, T) \partial_x X_t |_{x=X_t} dX_t + X_t \partial_y P(t, T) |_{y=P(t, T)} dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \frac{1}{2} P(t, T) \partial_{xx} X_t |_{x=X_t} d [X_t ] \nonumber \\ && \quad + \frac{1}{2} X_t \partial_{yy} P(t, T) |_{y=P(t, T)} d [P(t, T) ] \nonumber \\ && \quad + \frac{1}{2} \partial_{xy} (X_t P(t, T)) |_{x=X_t, y=P(t,T)} d[ X_t, P(t,T) ] \nonumber \\ && \quad + \frac{1}{2} \partial_{yx} (X_t P(t, T)) |_{y=P(t,T), x=X_t} d[P(t,T), X_t ] \\ &=& P(t, T) dX_t + X_t dP(t, T) + d[ X_t, P(t,T) ] \\ &=& P(t, T) dX_t + X_t dP(t, T) + d X_t dP(t,T) \\ &=& P(t, T) dX_t + X_t dP(t, T) + dP(t,T) d X_t \end{eqnarray}

- Substitute the above result into $dV_t $. \begin{eqnarray} d V_t &=& \hat{ V_t }dP(t,T) - \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) X_t dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) X_t dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) P(t, T) dX_t \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) dP(t, T) dX_t \\ &=& \left( \hat{ V_t } - X_t \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \right) dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) d P(t, S) \\ &=& \left( \hat{ V_t } - \frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \right) dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) d P(t, S) \end{eqnarray}

$\square$

### (4) My answer

- (2) assumes that the portfolio $(\xi^T_t, \xi^S_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$ is self-financing, i.e. \begin{eqnarray} dV_t=\xi^T_t dP(t, T) + \xi^S_t dP(t, S) \end{eqnarray}

- One also has another expression of $dV_t$ by (3). \begin{eqnarray} d V_t &=&\left( \hat{ V_t } - \frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \right) dP(t, T) \nonumber \\ && \quad + \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) d P(t, S) \end{eqnarray}

- item Comparing above two equations, one reaches the following equations. \begin{eqnarray} \xi^S_t &=& \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ \xi^T_t &=& \hat{ V_t } - \frac{P(t, S)}{P(t, T)} \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ &=& \hat{ V_t } - X_t \partial_x C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) \\ &=& \hat{ V_t } - X_t \xi^S_t \end{eqnarray}

- Recall the result of (1), $C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) $ and the result of (2), $\hat{ V_t }=C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) $. \begin{eqnarray} C(X_t, \kappa, v(t, T) ) &=& \frac{ P(t,S) }{ P(t, T) } N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{\kappa \ P(t,T)} \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{P(t,S) }{\kappa\ P(t,T)}\right) \\ &=& X_t N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t}{\kappa } \right) \nonumber \\ && \qquad - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t }{\kappa }\right) \\ \hat{ V_t } - X_t N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t}{\kappa } \right) &=& - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t }{\kappa }\right) \end{eqnarray}

- Comparing the above equation to $\xi^T_t $, one reaches the following equations. \begin{eqnarray} \xi^S_t &=& N\left( \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t}{\kappa } \right) \\ &=& N\left( \frac{v(t, T) }{2} + \frac{1}{v(t, T) } \log \frac{P(t, S)}{\kappa \ P(t, T)} \right) \\ \xi^T_t &=& - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v}{2} + \frac{1}{v} \log \frac{X_t }{\kappa }\right) \\ &=& - \kappa N\left( - \frac{v(t, T)}{2} + \frac{1}{v(t, T)} \log \frac{P(t, S) }{\kappa \ P(t, T) }\right) \end{eqnarray}

$\square$

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