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Replicating a European Call in the Bachelier Model

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Richard

Summary

The document examines whether a European call can be replicated when the stock follows an arithmetic Brownian motion and the bank account grows at a constant rate. It outlines an argument for market completeness by finding a change of measure that makes the discounted stock price a martingale, then connects the replicating portfolio’s stock holding to the option’s sensitivity to the stock price.

For a call, the proposed delta is the risk-neutral probability that the terminal stock price exceeds the strike, so it lies between zero and one. A second answer gives an intuitive monotonicity and payoff-bound argument for the same range. The notes are useful as a conceptual result, but the first derivation has potential gaps: the stated change of measure and expectations require care, and the claim of completeness does not by itself establish replication without suitable model assumptions. The probability expression also depends on the assumed pricing measure and setup.

Key ideas

  • A change of measure is used to seek a martingale pricing framework for the stock and cash account.
  • In a complete one-factor model, a call’s replicating stock holding is its price sensitivity to the underlying.
  • The call delta is expressed as the risk-neutral probability of finishing above the strike.
  • The document argues that this probability places the stock holding between zero and one.
  • The derivation relies on assumptions about measure changes, market completeness, and model dynamics.

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Full text
# Bachelier model: number of stocks in replicating strategy


# Bachelier model: number of stocks in replicating strategy












Given:

Consider a two-asset, continuous time model (B,S) where \begin{equation} dB_t = B_t r dt, \quad dS_t = \mu dt + \sigma dW_t. \end{equation} The question is:

- Show that there exists a trading strategy which replicates the payout of a European call with strike K and maturity T.

- Show that the number of shares of stock in the replicating portfolio is always non-negative but never greater than one.

## Answer by user9403 (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/15675

Part 1:

Show that there exists a trading strategy which replicates a European Call.

Proof: I am actually going to prove a stronger statement: that there exists an admissible trading strategy which replicates any payoff in this market. By the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, there is no arbitrage if there exists a change of measure such that, for all assets, the following holds: $$X_t=\mathbb{\tilde{E}}[e^{-r(T-t)} X_T | \mathcal{F}_t]$$ By Girsonav's theorem, the following change of measure can be made: $$d\tilde{W}_t=dW_t+\frac{\mu-rS}{\sigma}dt$$ Substituting this into the dynamics of $$dS_t=\mu dt+\sigma dW_t$$ yields $$dS_t=rS_tdt+\sigma d\tilde{W}_t $$ The expected value of this process is $$\mathbb{\tilde{E}}[S_T | \mathcal{F}_t]=S_t+\mathbb{\tilde{E}}\left[\int_t ^ T rS_u du |\mathcal{F}_t\right] $$ Taking the expectation inside the integral on the right hand side, $$\mathbb{\tilde{E}}[S_T | \mathcal{F}_t]=S_t+\int_t ^ T r\mathbb{\tilde{E}}\left[S_u |\mathcal{F}_t\right] du $$ Letting $$f(t, T)=\mathbb{\tilde{E}}[S_T | \mathcal{F}_t]$$ And taking the differential of both sides, $$df=rfdt \implies \frac{df}{dt}=rf$$ This is an ODE with initial condition $$f(t, t)=S_t $$ This ODE has the unique solution $$S_t e^{r(T-t)} $$ Thus $$\mathbb{\tilde{E}} [S_T e^{-r(T-t)}]=S_t e^{r(T-t)} e^{-r(T-t)}=S_t $$ Hence this model does not admit arbitrage. By the Second Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, there exists a unique change of measure if and only if every payoff can be replicated. In this model with a single Brownian motion, the change of measure is one such that $$ dS=rS dt+\sigma(dW+\theta dt)=\mu dt+\sigma dW $$ Solving for theta, $$ rS+\theta \sigma= \mu $$

Clearly this has a single solution, namely $$\theta=\frac{\mu-rS}{\sigma} $$

This proves 1.

Part 2: Show that the Delta of the option is between zero and one.

By Feynman-Kac and Ito's lemma, $$e^{-rt} g(S_t, t, T)=e^{-rT}\mathbb{E}[h(S_T)|\mathcal{F}_t]$$ implies that g has the following dynamics: $$\frac{\partial g}{\partial t} dt+\frac{\partial g}{\partial S} dS_t+\frac{\partial^2 g}{2\partial S^2} \sigma^2 dt -rg dt $$ Comparing this with the dynamics of the self-financing replicating portfolio $$X_t=\Delta S_t+\Gamma B_t $$ $$dX_t=\Delta dS_t+\Gamma dB_t $$ By the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset pricing, $$X_t=g(S_t, t, T) $$ It is thus clear that $$\Delta=\frac{\partial g}{\partial S}$$

Writing the expectation of the payoff as an integral, $$X_t=e^{-r(T-t)}\int_K ^ \infty (S_T-K) d\mathbb{\tilde{P}} $$ $$=e^{-r(T-t)}\int_{K-S} ^ \infty (S e^{r(T-t)} +y-K) p(y) dy $$ Taking the derivative with respect to S, $$\frac{\partial g}{\partial S}= \int_{K-Se^{r(T-t)}} ^ \infty p(y) dy -e^{-r(T-t)}(K-Se^{r(T-t)}+Se^{r(T-t)}-K)p(y)=\mathbb{\tilde{P}}(S_T>K) $$ Thus the delta of the option can be written as a probability, which is always between zero and one.

This proves 2.

## Answer by emcor (score 0)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/15677

The stock weight $\pi_t\geq0$ is nonnegative as $C_T=\max(S_T-K,0)$ is increasing in $S_T$ (always long).

$\pi_t\leq 1$ cannot be greater than one, because one can receive at most 1 stock from the call at maturity, so you dont pay more than 1 stock price for it. Otherwise, one could buy the (cheaper) call and sell the replicating portfolio for riskfree profit at maturity.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.