Replicating Derivatives and Zero-Coupon Bonds in a Binomial Model
Summary
The document reviews risk-neutral valuation in a binomial model with constant or adapted, time-varying interest rates. It describes valuing a payoff by taking its conditional expectation under the risk-neutral measure and discounting by the relevant sequence of rates. For a derivative on an underlying asset, the answer explains that the underlying is a natural hedge because the derivative’s sensitivity to it can be estimated; it also identifies zero-coupon bonds or the bank account as instruments for replicating cash flows when rates are known at each step.
For a bond paying one unit at maturity, the response motivates discounting by compounding each intervening period’s rate. It relates this to trading bonds and the money market, though the excerpt omits the portfolio equation the question refers to, so that connection is not worked out in detail. The answer’s formulas include time-interval factors in the rates, whereas the question uses per-period rates; these conventions must be kept consistent. The discussion is explanatory rather than a worked numerical example.
Key ideas
- Risk-neutral valuation discounts expected future payoffs using the applicable period-by-period rates.
- The underlying asset is a natural hedging instrument when the derivative’s sensitivity to it is known or estimable.
- A zero-coupon bond or bank account can represent investment and borrowing across periods.
- A bond’s price follows from compounding the rates over the periods until maturity.
- Rates expressed per unit time require consistent treatment of each period’s length.
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# Questions about the replicating portfolio in the binomial model
# Questions about the replicating portfolio in the binomial model
I'm starting to teach myself quantitative finance and I've got several questions (marked in bold) regarding the replicating portfolio of a security in the binomial model. I'm following, among others, the classical book "Stochastic Calculus for Finance I: The Binomial Asset Pricing Model".
First, I'll start with some notation so that there is no confusion. As always, let $d$, $u$, $r$ be the down-factor, up-factor, and risk-free interest rate, respectively, verifying that $d < 1 + r < u$. Then, if $V_{n}$, $0 \leq n \leq N$, is the value at time $n$ of a security that has a unique payoff $V_N$ at maturity, we know that the discounted process $\dfrac{V_n}{(1+r)^n}$ is a martingale under the risk-neutral probability measure $\widetilde{\mathbb{P}}$, where the probability of heads is $p := \dfrac{1+r-d}{u-d}$, and thus we can easily compute the value of each $V_n$ via
$$V_{n} = \widetilde{E}_{n}\Big(\frac{V_{N}}{(1+r)^{N-n}}\Big).$$
If $d = d_{n}$, $u = u_{n}$, and $r = r_{n}$ are not constant numbers but an adapted stochastic process, the result is the same but now the discounted process is given by $\dfrac{V_n}{(1+r_{0})·\dots·(1+r_{n-1})}$, and the risk-neutral pricing formula still holds true provided that
$$ \widetilde{\mathbb{P}}(w_{n+1} = H|w_{1},\dots,w_{n}) := p_{n} := \dfrac{1+r_n-d_n}{u_n-d_n}, $$
$$ \widetilde{\mathbb{P}}(w_{n+1} = T|w_{1},\dots,w_{n}) = 1- p_{n}. $$
To show the previous result, one usually constructs the following portfolio: suppose that $V$ is, for instance, an European call. Start with $X_{0}$ wealth, buy $\Delta_{0}$ shares of the underlying, and invest (or borrow) the remaining money at the risk-free rate $r$. At time $1$, sell the portfolio and reinvest the money doing the same strategy. At time $n+1$, the value of the replicating portfolio is given by
$$X_{n+1} = \Delta_{n}S_{n+1} + (1+r)(X_{n}-\Delta_{n}S_{n}).$$
Now that the notation is clear, my first question is the following:
1) Do we need to replicate the derivative security using the underlying security $S$? I'm aware of the hedging benefits of combining a derivative and its underlying, but since here the goal is to construct a replicating portfolio, could it be constructed trading with another security? What are the advantages of using the underlying over the rest of securities? The only benefit I see is that you only need to model the prices of one stock.
Now suppose that we want to price zero-coupon bonds using the binomial model. Assume that the interest rates form an stochastic adapted process, in such a way that 1 dollar invested at time $n$ yields $(1+r_{n})$ at time $n+1$. Let $B_{n,m}$ be the value at time $n$ of a zero-coupon bond that pays $1$ dollar at time $m$. Since the risk-neutral pricing formula also applies here, we can easily conclude that $$B_{n,m} = \widetilde{E}_{n}\Big(\frac{1}{(1+r_{n})·\dots·(1+r_{m-1})}\Big).$$ However, here goes another question:
2) How would one construct a replicating portfolio in this case? In what securities does it make sense to trade?
Finally, I see that in the book that I mention at the beginning, a portfolio process is constructed by trading in the zero-coupon bonds and the money market via the following equation:
where $\Delta_{n,m}$ is the number of zero-coupon bonds of maturity $m$ held by the investor between times $n$ and $n+1$. I understand that this portfolio process, properly discounted, is a martingale, and hence there can't be arbitrage when trading in the zero-coupon bonds and the money market. My final question is:
3) How is this formula related to the proof that $B_{n,m} = \widetilde{E}_{n}\big(\frac{1}{(1+r_{n})·\dots·(1+r_{m-1})}\big)$?
If some of my questions are not clear enough, please let me know. Thanks a lot!
## Answer by KT8 (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/74796
Here are some answers, hope it helps:
Regarding question 1, Do we need to replicate the derivative security using the underlying security $S$? I think the answer is related to your other question: What are the advantages of using the underlying over the rest of securities? The reason is that it is the underlying for which the derivative has a known sensitivity. Imagine you'd like to hedge a derivative on $S$ using an underlying $H$. How would you do it? How is an increase in value of the derivative linked to the performance or evolution of $H$? In the case of $S$ you know (or can estimate) that, is just the partial derivative (assuming no jumps).
2) How would one construct a replicating portfolio in this case? In what securities does it make sense to trade? Since these are adapted processes (the rate from $t$ to $t + \Delta t$ is known t and it is suppossed to be a rate at which any market player can capitalize, then you can just replicate it by buying zero coupon bonds or via a bank account.
Question 3 is related to this, and just comes from the compounded capitalization/borrowing formula. If the rate from $t_0$ to $t_1$ is $r_0$, the price of a zero coupon bond paying 1 unit at time $t_1$ is
$$ \dfrac{1}{1 + r_0 (t_1 - t_0)}$$,
now for a ZCB paying at time $t_2$, if the rate from $t_1$ to $t_2$ is $r_1$, following the same argument
$$ \dfrac{1}{(1 + r_0 (t_1 - t_0))(1 + r_1 (t_2 - t_1))},$$
and it follows directly. Note that in the book they're missing the $\Delta t$ term (maybe it is just taken into account in the $r$ factor).Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.