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Risk-Neutral Drift with Discrete Dividend Payments

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Daniel F.

Summary

The document sets up a stock model with scheduled proportional dividends: the stock follows geometric Brownian motion between payment dates and drops by a known fraction when each dividend is paid. It asks how to change probability measure so that the stock earns the risk-free rate between dividend dates. The proposed derivation applies Girsanov’s theorem to the discounted stock, but obtains an incorrect drift because it uses the wrong sign and drift adjustment; it also overlooks that a dividend-paying stock is not itself the full gains process.

The setup illustrates the distinction between a stock price and an investment that reinvests dividends. Under the risk-neutral measure, the stock price has risk-free drift between payment dates in this proportional-dividend model, while the dividend payments must be accounted for separately in pricing and replication. The document provides no solution or evidence that its proposed change of measure is valid. Its calculations should therefore be treated as a question and a flawed draft, not as a completed derivation. Any application must specify the dividend convention and construct the measure change consistently across the intervals.

Key ideas

  • The model assumes geometric Brownian motion between known proportional dividend dates.
  • A proportional dividend causes a discrete downward jump in the stock price at payment.
  • The attempted Girsanov adjustment has a sign error and does not yield the requested drift.
  • Dividend-paying stock prices and dividend-reinvested gains must be distinguished in risk-neutral pricing.
  • The document poses the derivation problem but does not supply a verified solution.

Tags

Full text
# Black-Scholes model with discrete dividend payments


# Black-Scholes model with discrete dividend payments












Consider the Black-Scholes model with discrete dividends in the interval $[0,T]$. This means that there's a sequence of dates such that, $$0 < t_1 < \dots < t_k < \dots < t_n < T $$ where the dividend that is paid out to the owner of the risky asset is given by, $$d_k S_{t^-_k} $$ where, $$ S_{t^-_k} = \lim_{t \to t^-_k} S_t $$ is the price of the risky asset immediately before the dividend is paid out. After the dividend payment, the risky asset price is given by, $$S_{t_k} = (1-d_k)S_{t^-_k} $$ The sequences $(t_k)_{1 \leq k \leq n}$ and $(d_k)_{1 \leq k \leq n}$ are known and $0 < d_k < 1$ , for all ${1 \leq k \leq n}$.

In this model, it is assumed that the price of the risky asset, between two dividend payment dates, is given by the usual Black-Scholes model:

$$dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_t dW_t, \space t_k \leq t < t_{k+1} $$

for $k = 0,\dots,n$, where, by notation convenience, we introduce the values $t_0 = 0$, $t_{n+1} = T$, $d_0 = d_{n+1} = 0$, and $\mu$,$\sigma > 0$ are constant.

The price of the risk free asset, $(B_t)_{t \geq 0}$, is given by, $$dB_t = rB_tdt$$ where $r>0$ is also a constant.

The objective of this problem is to prove that there exists a Brownian motion, $(\tilde W_t)$, defined in the probability space $(\Omega,\tilde P, \mathcal{F})$, such that $$dS_t = r S_t dt + \sigma S_t d \tilde W_t, \space t_k \leq t < t_{k+1} $$

My main approach to this problem was using Girsanov's theorem.

From the geometric brownian motion, $$dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_t dW_t, \space t_k \leq t < t_{k+1} $$ it is known that $$S_t = S_0 e^{\big(\mu-\frac{\sigma^2}{2}\big)t - \sigma W_t} $$ I also know that, $dB_t = rB_t dt$, has the following solution: $B_t = e^{rt} $. By multiplying $B_t$ on both sides of the last equation, $$B_t S_t = S_0 e^{\big(r + \mu-\frac{\sigma^2}{2}\big)t - \sigma W_t} $$ which has the following differential, $$ d(B_t S_t) = (r + \mu)B_t S_t dt + \sigma B_t S_t dW_t $$ which we can rewrite as, $$ d(B_t S_t) = \sigma B_t S_t \Bigg[dW_t + \frac{r + \mu}{\sigma}dt\Bigg] $$ Now using Girsanov's theorem, $$ dW_t = -\Bigg(\frac{r + \mu}{\sigma}\Bigg)dt + d\tilde W_t $$ Making the substitution in the starting geometric brownian motion, $$ dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_t \Bigg[-\Bigg(\frac{r + \mu}{\sigma}\Bigg)dt + d\tilde W_t \Bigg] = \mu S_t dt - (r + \mu)S_t dt + \sigma S_t d\tilde W_t = -rS_tdt + \sigma S_t d\tilde W_t$$

As you can see, my calculations are not giving out the final solution desired.

My question is, did I miss a crucial step on my draft resolution that is stopping me from obtaining the desired equation? Am I not seeing something?

Furthermore, is there an easier way to solve this problem?

Thank you in advance.

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.