Screening Beverage and Alcohol Stocks After Seven Down Days
Summary
This document describes a Chinese equity screen for companies in a beverage and alcohol import-export industry group. It selects stocks with turnover between 3% and 12% and a sequence of seven declining sessions. The post provides example implementations using an industry identifier, price series, and turnover data, and frames the consecutive declines as a possible way to identify candidates for a trend reversal.
The source warns that industry and volatility signals do not reliably forecast changes, and that a technical screen can overlook company fundamentals. It suggests adding valuation measures such as price-to-earnings or price-to-book ratios, but does not test whether those additions improve results. No backtest, return statistics, or validation method is presented. Its examples also operationalize a down day differently: one uses falling lows while another checks close below open, so the precise definition of seven consecutive declines needs to be settled before implementation.
Key ideas
- The screen filters industry-group stocks by turnover between 3% and 12% and seven consecutive declining sessions.
- The post presents the decline streak as a possible reversal-screening clue, not a validated signal.
- It recommends considering valuation and other company fundamentals alongside technical conditions.
- No backtest or performance evidence is reported.
- The examples use different definitions of a declining session, which could produce different selections.
Tags
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.