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Screening Chinese Stocks by Amplitude, Moving Averages, and 龙虎榜 Activity

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Summary

The document proposes a short-term stock screen combining three conditions: daily amplitude above 1, upward movement or divergence in moving averages, and appearance on the previous day’s 龙虎榜, a list of stocks with notable trading activity. It frames the list appearance as a sign of elevated attention and possible short-term opportunity. The article includes indicator formulas and a Python example that loops through stocks, checks price and moving-average data, and consults the prior day’s list.

The author cautions that the signal may capture speculative excitement and omits company fundamentals such as earnings, valuation, and dividends. It suggests adding fundamental filters and evaluating performance over a longer horizon. The code and stated moving-average condition are reference material, and the article supplies no backtest results, transaction-cost analysis, or evidence that list inclusion predicts returns. Its implementation details may also depend on the data source and market conventions, so the screen should be treated as a hypothesis rather than a validated strategy.

Key ideas

  • The proposed screen combines amplitude above 1, rising moving-average behavior, and prior-day 龙虎榜 inclusion.
  • The article treats list inclusion as a proxy for high trading activity and market attention.
  • It warns that short-term activity may reflect speculation and that fundamental factors are absent.
  • It suggests adding fundamentals and examining performance over longer periods.
  • No backtest or evidence of predictive returns is provided.

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.