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Spread Duration in Credit: Survival-Weighted PV and CDS Sensitivity

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Giano Rugge

Summary

The document presents spread duration as the present value of a one basis point coupon stream, weighted by survival probability and risk-free discounting. It connects this quantity to the first-order sensitivity of credit value to spread changes. Under simplified assumptions of constant hazard and interest rates, the integral has a closed-form expression that can be used to interpret CDS mark-to-market and spread risk.

For a CDS, the discussion combines the expected default-loss leg and premium leg, showing how value depends on par spread minus contract strike, scaled by risky duration. It also gives a risky-bond valuation with coupons, principal paid if the issuer survives, and recovery after default. The treatment assumes credit and rates are uncorrelated, uses continuous coupon payments, and omits accrued interest. It is an explanatory reduced-form approximation; the source itself cautions that these simplifications may be unsuitable in some applications.

Key ideas

  • Spread duration discounts coupon payments while adjusting each payment for the chance of survival.
  • With flat rates and hazard, risky duration has a compact integral form.
  • CDS value can be expressed as the difference between par spread and strike multiplied by risky duration.
  • Spread widening shortens risky duration, so spread sensitivity changes as credit risk rises.
  • Risky-bond value includes coupons, surviving principal, and recovery payments.

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Full text
# Definition of spread duration


# Definition of spread duration












is there anyone who can explain the concept of spread duration, both from a mathematical point of view and an intuitive one? Providing a practical example would be highly appreciated. Thanks in advance.

## Answer by Mehness (score 3)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/31160

will try and describe a simplified mathematical description, and hopefully some of it will be intuitive :)

I am going to use a definition of spread duration used throughout credit markets at least - this may not be what you are getting at so do let me know if this is the case.

Spread duration is a risky duration, that is, the survival probability adjusted discount factor - weighted present value of a one basis point annuity / coupon paid on the bond. (This is almost the same things as price sensitivity, at least to a first order approximation as we'll see).

Spread duration or risky present value of a basis point is given by: $PV_{BP_{risky}} = \displaystyle{\int_0^Tc_t\,\mathbb{P}(\tau\geq t)}D_{0,t}\mathrm{dt} =\int_0^T{c_te^{\int_0^t{\lambda_sds}}e^{\int_0^t{r_sds}}\mathrm{dt}}$

where $D_{0,t}$ is the credit riskless discount, $c_t$ is the coupon stream (assumed continuous for simplicity) pf 1bp and $\mathbb{P}(\tau\geq t)$ is the $t$ survival probability. Please note - to make things simple I am assuming here that credit and rates are uncorrelated - in many applications this is NOT suitable. Am also ignoring accrued for clarity of exposition.

Let's now make things even simpler and assume a flat hazard rate and flat interest rate 'curve'. We then have simply that:

$\displaystyle{PV_{BP_{risky}} =\int_0^T{e^{(\lambda+r)t}\mathrm{dt}} }=\left\{\frac{1-e^{(\lambda+r)T}}{\lambda+r}\right\}$

This is a nice 'quick and dirty' formula for the risky duration which is surprisingly useful for calculating CDS MTMs or CR01 (which latter is the PV change. Now, let's have a look at a CDS MTM:

$PV_{CDS}=PV_{loss\,leg}-PV_{premium\,leg} =(1-R)\int_0^T{\lambda e^{(\lambda+r)t}\mathrm{dt}} -\kappa\int_0^T{e^{(\lambda+r)t}\mathrm{dt}}$

The loss leg integrand houses the survival density, $\kappa$ is the CDS premium or strike as it's often called, and the whole thing reduces to the familiar:

$PV_{CDS}=\{\lambda(1-R)-\kappa\}\cdot\left\{\frac{1-e^{(\lambda+r)T}}{\lambda+r}\right\}$

This is just $(par\,spread - strike)*risky\,duration$

Given this we can see that for CDS, a 1bp move in the spread does indeed deflect the MTM by one unit of the spread duration, but for the fact that the duration is negatively convex for a bought protection position. As the hazard rate widens, the risky duration shortens. A name moving from say 100bp to 500bp can easily lose 15% of its delta on say a 5y CDS struck at 1%, which is material.

Finally then just to write down a simple formula in a similar vein for a risky bond, we have:

$\displaystyle{PV_{risky\,bond} =\kappa\int_0^T{e^{(\lambda+r)t}\mathrm{dt}} +e^{-(\lambda+r)T}+R\int_0^T{\lambda e^{(\lambda+r)t}\mathrm{dt}}}$

This is risky coupon + principal on survival + recovery on default (integrated against density again). The quick and dirty formula here is:

$PV_{risky\,bond}=\{\kappa+R\lambda\}\cdot\left\{\frac{1-e^{(\lambda+r)T}}{\lambda+r}\right\}+e^{-(\lambda+r)T}$

Once again you can see the risky duration term, enclosed in $\{\cdot\}$ making an appearance, however this time we have a different default payoff of $R$ and not $1-R$, together with a term survival principal.

Hope that's a helpful summary of some simplified credit pricing showing where spread duration crops up. The reduced form formulae are handy for playing around with in a spreadsheet. Probably ridden with typos I'm afraid so caveat lector, cheers!

Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.