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Timing Low-Correlation ETFs with Golden-Cross and Death-Cross Signals

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Summary

This timing strategy trades a basket of ETFs representing international equity markets, gold, agricultural commodities, and oil. Its stated portfolio idea is to combine assets with low correlations, then use a golden cross to enter and a death cross to exit. The document lists seven ETF tickers but does not specify the crossover indicators, lookback periods, allocation method, or rebalancing rules in the supplied description.

The author reports annualized return of 10.6%, a Sharpe ratio of 0.83, and maximum drawdown of 8.12%, and suggests idle-cash interest could raise returns to about 11%. These figures are presented without a test period, benchmark, transaction costs, or other validation details, limiting interpretation. The strategy code is referenced but not included, so the reported results cannot be independently assessed from this document alone.

Key ideas

  • The strategy times a diversified group of ETFs using golden-cross entries and death-cross exits.
  • Its asset list spans international equities, gold, soymeal, and oil.
  • The document reports annualized return of 10.6%, Sharpe ratio of 0.83, and maximum drawdown of 8.12%.
  • The description omits the crossover definitions, test period, costs, allocation rules, and code needed to assess or reproduce the results.

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.