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Trend Screen Using Moving Averages, Price Strength, and Position Changes

Article SuperMind

Summary

This Chinese equity screen combines a daily position-increase ratio above 5%, yesterday's closing price above its 250-day moving average, and a 20-day moving average above the 120-day average. The note interprets the position-change measure as a possible capital-flow signal, the long moving average condition as evidence of price strength, and the shorter-versus-longer average relationship as a positive trend filter. It proposes adding valuation and earnings-growth comparisons against industry peers.

The article discusses the limitations of relying on technical indicators alone and notes that sharp market moves can weaken their usefulness. It provides an illustrative list of indicator calculations, but no backtest, data definition for the position-increase ratio, or evidence of returns. Its code contains inconsistent or questionable indicator references, and several proposed fundamentals are not included in a complete executable selection rule. The conditions therefore describe a screening concept rather than a tested strategy.

Key ideas

  • The screen requires the 20-day moving average to exceed the 120-day average.
  • It also requires the prior day's price to be above the 250-day moving average.
  • A position-increase ratio above 5% is used as a possible flow signal.
  • The article suggests adding peer-relative valuation and profit-growth filters.
  • No performance validation is provided, and the code and flow metric definitions need verification.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.