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Using a MATIC Call Ratio Spread for a Bullish Outlook

Article Deribit Insights

Summary

This trade note proposes a call ratio spread for a bullish view on MATIC, using June 7, 2024 options. The example buys one out-of-the-money call at a lower strike and sells two calls at a higher strike with the same expiry. The article states a net debit of $12.2 per contract, a maximum profit of $127.8 per contract, and identifies a spot price of $0.90 at expiry as the maximum-profit level. It also specifies a contract multiplier of 1,000.

The rationale combines Polygon’s security certification, an increase in whale addresses, positive Chaikin Money Flow, a possible bullish MACD shift, and broader crypto-market sentiment. The proposed structure aims to benefit from a moderate rise toward the short-call strike. Because it leaves the trader net short calls, losses beyond the initial debit are possible if the underlying rises sufficiently. The article offers a directional thesis and an example position, but no historical testing or probability analysis; its technical and on-chain signals are presented as support for the outlook, not proof that it will occur.

Key ideas

  • A call ratio spread buys one call and sells a larger number of higher-strike calls with the same expiry.
  • The example trade targets a MATIC price of $0.90 at expiry for maximum profit.
  • The position has net short-call exposure, so losses can exceed the initial debit after a sufficiently large rally.
  • The bullish rationale includes whale-address growth, positive money flow, a potential MACD shift, and project developments.
  • The note presents a specific market thesis but supplies no backtest or probability estimates.

Tags

This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.