Valuing and Transferring an Existing Forward Contract
Summary
The document explains how to value an existing forward before maturity and how that value relates to a transfer between counterparties. Under zero dividends and a constant interest rate, it derives the forward’s value as the spot price less the discounted delivery price. This gives the value a buyer receives when taking over the contract, rather than equating the contract’s value with the difference between current spot and delivery price.
A numerical example considers a one-year forward with a delivery price of 120, transferred after six months when spot is 135. The answer says a buyer would pay 15 only if the contract’s fair value exceeds that amount; at the fair value, the buyer is indifferent. The result assumes the stated interest-rate and dividend conditions, and it does not discuss transaction costs, credit risk, or other contract terms.
Key ideas
- An existing forward’s value before maturity is spot minus the present value of its delivery price.
- The delivery price is discounted over the remaining life of the contract.
- A transfer price of 15 is attractive to the buyer only when the forward’s fair value is greater than 15.
- The stated valuation assumes zero dividends and a constant interest rate.
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# Some questions on (re-)pricing a forward
# Some questions on (re-)pricing a forward
A few questions and my answers, to be sure I understand everything
Question 1
Suppose A and B agree on a forward contract: maturity
- $T = 1Y$
- spot at $t=0$: $S_0=100$
- forward price $K = 120$.
Suppose B wants to sell this contract to C at $t = 6M$ (so that the contract will be between A and C). Suppose that $S_{6M}=135$, then C will buy the contract at 135-120=15 ?(so C buys the mark-to-market forward price)
Question 2
The value of a forward contract at $t$ = 0 equals
$$V_{0}=S_{0}-Kexp(-rT)$$
with $K=S_{0}exp(rT)$.
At $t = 6M$, the value is
$$V_t=S_t-Kexp(-r(T-t))=S_t-S_{0}exp(rT)exp(-r(T-t))=S_t-S_0exp(rt).$$
So again C will buy the contract at this price (?)
## Answer by Gordon (score 4)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/35551
Assuming zero dividend and a constant interest rate $r$, the 1y forward price is then \begin{align*} 120 = K = S_0 e^r = 100\, e^r. \end{align*} Consequently, $e^r = 1.2$. The fair value of the forward contract, at 6M, is given by \begin{align*} e^{0.5 r} E\left(\frac{S_{1Y}-120}{e^{r}} \mid \mathcal{F}_{6M} \right) &= e^{0.5 r}\left(\frac{S_{6M}}{e^{0.5 r}} -\frac{120}{e^r}\right)\\ &= S_{6M} - 120 e^{-0.5 r}.\tag{1} \end{align*}
Then, for your Question 1, C is willing to buy the forward contract with the price 135-120 = 15, given that the value in $(1)$ is greater than 15.
For your second question, since \begin{align*} S_t - S_0 e^{rt} &= S_{6M} - S_0 e^{0.5r}\\ &= S_{6M} - S_0 e^r e^{-0.5r}\\ &=S_{6M}- 120 e^{-0.5 r}, \end{align*} C is indifferent for buying the forward contract with this price.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.