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Volatility and Variance: Definitions, Units, and Uses

Article Quant Q&A · Author: Jaydles

Summary

The document distinguishes variance, a defined statistical measure of squared dispersion, from volatility, a term used in finance for variability that may refer to several related quantities. For return data, volatility is commonly estimated by taking the square root of variance, producing standard deviation in the same units as returns. Variance uses squared units and is often useful in portfolio variance decomposition and covariance analysis, while standard deviation is easier to interpret for a single asset or portfolio.

It also cautions that volatility has different meanings across contexts: it can refer to realized statistical dispersion, a model parameter describing price dynamics, or implied volatility inferred from option prices. Volatility concerns the range or dispersion of possible movement, not its direction, which is associated with the mean. The discussion is conceptual; specific estimators and interpretations depend on the model, sampling period, and whether historical or option-market measures are being used.

Key ideas

  • Variance is the expected squared deviation of returns from their mean and is measured in squared units.
  • Volatility is commonly represented by standard deviation, the square root of variance, in the original return units.
  • Volatility describes dispersion or movement ranges rather than predicting the direction of returns.
  • In finance, volatility can mean realized variation, a calibrated model parameter, or option implied volatility.
  • Variance and covariance are commonly used in multivariate portfolio analysis.

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Full text
# What is the difference between volatility and variance?


# What is the difference between volatility and variance?












How do volatility and variance differ in finance and what do both imply about the movement of an underlying?

## Answer by Dirk Eddelbuettel (score 30)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/229

Volatility is typically unobservable, and as such estimated --- for example via the (sample) variance of returns, or more frequently, its square root yielding the standard deviation of returns as a volatility estimate.

There are also countless models for volatility, from old applied models like Garman/Klass to exponential decaying and formal models such as GARCH or Stochastic Volatility.

As for forecasts of the movement: well, that is a different topic as movement is the first moment (mean, location) whereas volatility is a second moment (dispersion, variance, volatility). So in a certain sense, volatility estimates do not give you estimates of future direction but of future ranges of movement.

## Answer by user98 (score 19)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/241

- The main underlying difference is in their definition. Variance has a fixed mathematical definition, however volatility does not as such. Volatility is said to be the measure of fluctuations of a process.

- Volatility is a subjective term, whereas variance is an objective term i.e. given the data you can definitely find the variance, while you can't find volatility just having the data. Volatility is associated with the process, and not with the data.

- In order to know the volatility you need to have an idea of the process i.e you need to have an observation of the dispersion of the process. All the different processes will have different methods to compute volatilities based on the underlying assumptions of the process.

## Answer by mhit0 (score 14)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/14066

Volatility = Variance^1/2 = Standard Deviation

## Answer by gappy (score 13)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/232

By volatility people usually refer to to annualized standard deviation of an asset. For an asset it's usually quoted as a percentage of the asset price (i.e. the return volatility). For a portfolio, it is often quoted in currency units. Variance is the square of the standard deviation. It is usually not quoted directly because it doesn't have an intuitive unit of measure. Instead, it is used in variance decomposition, e.g. the idiosyncratic variance of a portfolio is 6% of the total portfolio variance.

## Answer by Bryce (score 5)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/4878

Suppose X is a random variable representing the returns of an asset having finite mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2>0$.

- Variance $\sigma^2$ represents the expected squared deviation of $X$ from $\mu$. Intuitively, this is a measure of how dispersed returns are about the mean. If returns are measured in $\%$, then the units of variance are $\%^2$. However, for many people $\%^2$ is difficult to interpret.

- Volatility $\sigma$ is the square root of variance, and has units $\%$. This change in units makes volatility more interpretable, furthermore a better tool for analysis. If we further assume $X$ follows a Gaussian distribution, then $\sigma$ provides many more additional insights.

Volatility is a tool commonly used in univariate cases, e.g. when speaking of returns of one stock, one bond, or one portfolio.

In the multivariate setting, variance is used, e.g. a covariance matrix, because taking the square root of a matrix is an unecessary additional layer of complexity.

## Answer by nicolas (score 3)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/1200

the only difference between volatility and variance is the square. everything else is bs, as concept that apply to one applies to the other (historical vs implied, blabla)

## Answer by user212 (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/230

Volatility is essentially quadratic variation. It is a property of sample paths, not probability measures. In other words, it can be calculated given a single historical path and doesn't depended upon the probability you assign to that path.

Variance, and standard deviation, are functions of the probability you assign to events.

## Answer by JorgeT (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/37560

Variance is a measure of the dispersion and is not bound by any time period. On the other hand, volatility captures the degree of variation of a time series over time. In finance, volatility is a measure of the standard deviation over a certain time horizon (typically annual).

## Answer by Juan Ignacio Gil (score 1)

https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/50600

In quant environments, there are many different things that we call volatility (this is one thing I am quite unhappy, and think we should do better):

- The statistical definition, as the standard deviation of the returns (usually logarithmic returns) of a stochastic process

- The number you have to put in the Black Scholes formula to get the price you get in the market for a given option (that is the implied volatility)

- A parameter of a model (that can be constant, or a function of time, prices, etc) that you have calibrated (from historical or market prices) to describe the dynamics of a process. You might have different volatilities in a single model (in a stochastic volatility model, for example, you have a volatility price, which is a stochastic process itself, and a volatility of volatility). So volatility is model dependent: the same process, describe by different models, will have different volatilities (the one I descibed before, the Black-Scholes implied volatility, is also the simplest example of this)

And probably more I cannot think about right now. As someone said before, there a fixed mathematical definition for variance, but the meaning of volatility is quite subjective

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This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.