When the Black–Scholes Model Has an Equivalent Martingale Measure
Summary
The document examines why the Black–Scholes model’s equivalent martingale measure (EMM) requires nonzero volatility. With positive volatility, Girsanov’s theorem changes the Brownian motion’s drift so the discounted stock price becomes an exponential martingale. If volatility is zero, the stock follows a deterministic path, and an equivalent measure cannot alter that path or its drift; an EMM then exists only when the stock’s growth rate equals the risk-free rate.
The answers also qualify the claim that the model is arbitrage-free. An EMM rules out arbitrage for suitably restricted trading strategies, such as strategies whose value stays nonnegative, but unrestricted strategies can admit arbitrage even when volatility is positive. The discussion is conceptual rather than a full proof, and the original question’s displayed stock-price solution contains inconsistent drift and volatility terms. The key distinction is between existence of an EMM and absence of arbitrage under a specified class of strategies.
Key ideas
- With positive volatility, a change of measure can adjust the Brownian drift so discounted stock prices are martingales.
- When volatility is zero, the stock path is deterministic, and an equivalent measure cannot change its drift.
- In the zero-volatility case, an EMM requires the stock’s growth rate to equal the risk-free rate.
- An EMM implies no arbitrage only for an appropriately restricted set of trading strategies.
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Full text
# Why is the black-scholes model arbitrage free when σ>0?
# Why is the black-scholes model arbitrage free when σ>0?
I want to show that: if $σ$ is positive then there is no arbitrage in the model, even if $r > µ$. Whilst I have satisfied this for $ r > \mu$, I cannot see why the conditioning on $\sigma>0 $ is necessary.
Given: $S_0 = 1$, $B_t$ = Brownian motion and $S_t$ = stock price And our Black-scholes model: $$dS_t = \mu S_t dt + \sigma S_t dB_t$$
Then this model is arbitrage free if there is some Equivalent Martingale Measure $\mathbb{Q}$ such that $S_t e^{-rt}$ is a martingale.
So why do we require that $\sigma > 0$ for this to be arbitrage free?
The solution to BSM: $$S_T = S_0 e^{(r - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2)T + B_T}$$
Now to discount it, let $X_t = S_T e^{-rT}$
So $$X_t = e^{(\mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2} - r)T + \sigma(B_t)}$$ So we need to show $X_t$ is EMM under $\mathbb{Q}$
$$dX_t = \sigma S_t e^{-rt}( \frac{\mu - r}{\sigma}dt + dB_t)$$
then by Girsanov's theorem with $c = \frac{\mu - r}{\sigma}$, There's $\mathbb{Q}$ such that $ct + B_t = \hat B_t$ is a Brownian motion (is this called brownian motion with drift?)
Gives:
$$X_t = X_0 e^{\sigma \hat B_t - \frac{1}{2}\sigma^2t}$$
And this is an exponential martingale.
BUT, why does this rely on $$\sigma >0$$
It is clear that $X_t$ is independent of $r$ and $\mu$ so that's why the case of $r >\mu$ doesn't effect us.
## Answer by q.t.f. (score 1, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/17879
If $\sigma=0$ there is no randomness: the spot follows a single deterministic path. That is, the measure consists of a point mass at that path. Any equivalent measure can again only give a point mass at that same path, with the same drift. So in this case we must have $\mu = r$ to have an equivalent martingale measure. This is arbitrage free, but there is no longer a market-price-of-risk giving different risk-neutral vs. real-world measures. This makes sense: there is no randomness so no risk!
## Answer by Jesse (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/43808
> I want to show that: if $\sigma$ is positive then there is no arbitrage in the model
You will not be able to show this, because it is not true. The Black-Scholes model does allow for arbitrage opportunities if one places no restrictions on the size of the allowable trading strategies, cf. Harrison-Pliska (1981).
What is true is that there are no arbitrage opportunities among the set of "tame" trading strategies (where a tame strategy is one whose corresponding value process is always non-negative). This does follow from the existence of an equivalent martingale measure (and an EMM always exists as long as $\sigma \neq 0$); cf Theorem 6.1.1 in Risk-Neutral Valuation by Bingham-Kiesel.
Perhaps what you really intend to ask is "why does an EMM not exist (in general) when $\sigma = 0$?". This question has been adequately addressed by q.t.f., but it's different from the question in the title...Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.