Why Discounted Option Prices Are Martingales Under Risk-Neutral Pricing
Summary
The document explains why an option price divided by the bank account value is a martingale under the risk-neutral measure. One answer gives the definition: under that measure, asset prices expressed in units of a chosen numeraire are martingales. With the bank account as numeraire, the discounted option price has this property before deriving the Black–Scholes partial differential equation.
A second explanation starts from the assumption that the option can be replicated by an admissible, self-financing strategy in the stock and bank account. Discounting the replicating portfolio cancels the risk-free drift, leaving a Brownian-motion integral. The discussion relies on risk-neutral pricing and replicability assumptions; the displayed stochastic-integral argument alone does not establish every technical condition needed for a true martingale.
Key ideas
- Under a risk-neutral measure, prices divided by the chosen numeraire are martingales.
- Using the bank account as numeraire makes the discounted option price a martingale.
- A self-financing replicating portfolio provides another route to the discounted-price result.
- The argument assumes an appropriate risk-neutral measure and a replicable option.
Tags
Full text
# Why is $C(t,S_t)/B_t$ a martingale?
# Why is $C(t,S_t)/B_t$ a martingale?
In the derivation of the Black-Scholes formula given by Joshi (extract below), he says $C(t,S_t)/B_t$ is a martingale. Why?
I understand this can be deduced from the Black-Scholes PDE since the drift term is equal to zero. But how can he deduce $C(t,S_t)/B_t$ is a martingale before we have derived the Black-Scholes PDE.
## Answer by pbr142 (score 8, accepted)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/18131
It is important to note that he says: "In the risk-neutral world, $\frac{C(t,S_t)}{B_t}$ is a martingale." That is true by definition of what the risk-neutral measure is, also called martingale measure for exactly that reason.
A risk-neutral measure is defined such that asset prices deflated by the numeraire (unit with which prices are measured) are martingales. In your example, the standard numeraire is used: a bank account which is continuously reinvested at the risk-free rate. There are plenty of sources that discusses the (almost) equivalence of the existence of a risk-neutral measure and the absence of arbitrage (or more precisely: No free lunch with vanishing risk). The most comprehensive book on these issues is by Delbaen and Schachermeyer, but it's mathematically very demanding. I personally like the book by Duffie, but opinions about the books vary. A good compromise between mathematical completeness and financial intuition is the book by Björk.
In Joshi's Book "The Concepts and Practice of Mathematical Finance", the whole chapter 6 is devoted to this topic.
## Answer by Gordon (score 3)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/18136
In the Black-Scholes world, it is assumed that the option value $C(t, S_t)$ is replicable by an admissible self-financing trading strategy $\phi$, where $\phi_t=(\alpha_t, \beta_t)$. That is, \begin{align*} C(t, S_t) = \alpha_t B_t + \beta_t S_t, \end{align*} and \begin{align*} dC(t, S_t) = \alpha_t dB_t + \beta_t dS_t. \end{align*} Since $dB_t = rB_t dt$, and $dS_t = S_t(rdt + \sigma dW_t)$, then \begin{align*} d\bigg(\frac{C(t, S_t)}{B_t} \bigg) &= \frac{dC(t, S_t)}{B_t}-\frac{C(t, S_t)}{B_t^2}dB_t\\ &=\beta_t \frac{dS_t}{B_t} - \beta_t \frac{S_t}{B_t^2}dB_t\\ &=\beta_t \frac{S_t(rdt + \sigma dW_t)}{B_t} - \beta_t \frac{S_t}{B_t}rdt\\ &=\sigma\beta_t\frac{S_t}{B_t}dW_t. \end{align*} Therefore, $\{C(t, S_t)/B_t \mid 0\leq t \leq T\}$ is a martingale.
## Answer by Ulysses (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/18130
Not sure whether author explains that, but when talking about replicating portfolios, the discounted portfolio must be a martingale for non-arbitrage conditions. That's a very important fact in the theory of risk-neutral pricing. More details are in Shiryaev's "Essentials of Stochastic Finance", and maybe in some probability theory oriented books on the topic, e.g. Musiela and Rutkowski.
## Answer by SmallChess (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/18146
Let's go to Chapter 6 in the book where he talks about risk-neutrality. In the chapter he proved the existence of a risk-neutral measure. Now, let's stop and think what this means.
It means our hedging portfolio for the option can't beat the risk-free rate. Although not exactly mathematically correct, you can think C/B as a ratio of the option price to the zero-coupon-bond. If this ratio has a drift (i.e: a trend), the option (i.e: heading portfolio) performs better than the zero-coupon-bond. Obviously, it'll create an arbitrage opportunity. Mathematically, this is simply a martingale under the risk-neutral measure.
Now, we know the option price must be a martingale under the risk-neutral measure and we also know that the drift is zero, it's not hard to see why Mark Joshi derived the way he did in the book.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.