Why Realized Volatility Raises Delta-Hedging Costs for Short Options
Summary
The document explains why higher volatility can increase the cost of delta-hedging a short option. Its central point is that the volatility used to price an option is an estimate of what the underlying will realize over the option’s life. If actual realized volatility differs from that estimate, the writer’s eventual hedging costs can be higher or lower than expected. The answer also describes the short-option hedge’s trading pattern: selling the underlying as it falls and buying as it rises.
A second answer relates expected hedge P&L to gamma exposure and realized variance over time, and distinguishes this trading cost from the capital cost of financing the hedge. It says volatility estimates inform option prices and that mark-to-market losses from vega do not by themselves determine final P&L if the option is held to expiry. These explanations omit risk premia, bid-offer spreads, and market dislocations, and the stated formula is schematic rather than a full practical pricing model.
Key ideas
- The option’s implied volatility is an estimate, so realized volatility over its life can differ.
- A short option’s delta hedge tends to sell the underlying as it falls and buy as it rises.
- Expected hedging costs depend on realized variance and the option’s gamma exposure.
- Hedge trading costs are distinct from the cost of financing the hedge.
- Vega-driven mark-to-market changes do not alone determine final P&L when the option is held to expiry.
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# Why does volatility increase the expense of delta-hedging?
# Why does volatility increase the expense of delta-hedging?
Consider someone that writes a call, and wishes to delta-hedge against it to remain delta neutral. For this to be profitable, the price they sell this option for should be greater than or equal to the cost of delta-hedging it. (From this question answer: "An option price is equal to the cost of delta-hedging")
I understand the option writer has to use capital to delta-hedge, which would imply some risk-free cost to borrow. However, I do not understand how volatility increases the overall expense of delta-hedging.
The option writer could do the following, continuously: For each theoretical price point, compute what delta would be, and place a limit buy or sell order at that theoretical price that would result in their position matching that delta. This would result in them having a ladder of orders up and down the order book, which would slowly change over time. Notice: this is entirely agnostic of the actual volatility.
What am I missing here? Given that options' IVs correlate with historical volatilies there must be some real cost or risk associated with delta-hedging more volatile stocks. However, that cost and/or risk eludes me.
## Answer by Brian B (score 5)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/66127
The key here is to observe that the volatility at the time the option is written is not exactly equal to the volatility that the markets actually experience during the option's lifetime.
The seller will price the option according to her best estimate of future volatility over its lifetime, but will always prove to have been too high or too low. More volatility increases the hedging cost (and the price our seller will have wished she had charged).
As to why extra volatility increases the hedging costs and option prices, the easiest way to see that is to note that a hedger who is short an option will be selling when the underlying drops in value, and buying when it increases. Buy high/sell low is well-known to be ruinous as an investment strategy. :-)
## Answer by Newquant (score 0)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/76091
Since the cost of an option should be equal to the expected PnL from delta hedging it to maturity, it's price (without risk premiums, bid/offers, dislocations, etc) should be equal to: $$ \int_0^T \frac{\Gamma_{S_i,t,\sigma_i} S_t^2}{2} * \sigma^2_r dt$$
You can see that as realised volatility rises, so too does the expected hedging cost of the option. This is distinct from the cost of capital to finance the hedge. Sellers bear this cost, and this is why you see changes in IV correlate to changes in RV (over similar maturities). The increase in implied volatility increases the Black-Scholes theta, meaning fresh sellers are compensated fairly. Even though the existing sellers are hurt by the increases IV, if allowed to run to maturity, the mark-to-market pain caused by vega is irrelevant in the final PnL, as the option will expire into $(S-K)^+$.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.