Why the Proposed Bivariate Black-Scholes Drift Relation Fails
Summary
The document examines a proposed relationship between the real-world expected returns of two correlated assets in a bivariate Black-Scholes market. The author decomposes one Brownian motion into a component correlated with the first asset and an independent component, then applies a one-dimensional change of measure to derive a risk-neutral drift condition. The proposed relation incorrectly treats both Brownian components as shifting by the same amount under that measure.
The answer identifies the mistake as applying the one-dimensional Girsanov theorem to a multidimensional Brownian system. A consistent change of measure must account for the vector of Brownian risks, so the stated drift relation does not follow in general; the respondent notes an exception in the perfectly correlated case. The thread refers readers to a separate exercise and solution, but does not include the corrected derivation. It therefore serves mainly as a warning about measure changes in correlated-asset models, rather than a complete pricing treatment.
Key ideas
- The proposed drift relation comes from an incorrect change of measure.
- A multidimensional Brownian system requires the multidimensional form of Girsanov’s theorem.
- The independent Brownian component cannot be assigned the same measure shift as the first asset’s component.
- The answer identifies perfect correlation as an exception to the stated correction.
- The post does not provide a full corrected derivation.
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Full text
# Bivariate Black-Sholes Model
# Bivariate Black-Sholes Model
Let us propose bivariate Black-Sholes Model. Assume, we have an arbitrage-free complete market.
$r_{f}$ is risk-free rate.
Under real-world measure $P$:
$dS_{1} (t)=S_{1} (t) [\mu_{1}dt+\sigma_{1}dW_{1,t}^{P}]$
$dS_{2} (t)=S_{2} (t) [\mu_{2}dt+\sigma_{2}dW_{2,t}^{P}]$
$corr(W_{1,t},W_{2,t})=\rho$
where $W_{i,t}^{P}$ is standard Brownian Motion under $P$. I have found out that in this model it holds: $\mu_{2}-r_{f}=\sigma_{2}(\rho+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}})\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}$
But I am not sure, whether the deirvation is right.
Does it hold?
The derivation is presented here:
From the fact of correlation between two Brownian motions,it holds: $W_{2,t}^{P}=\rho W_{1,t}^{P}+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}}W_{0,t}^{P}$
where $W_{0,t}^{P}$ is Standard Brownian Motion under $P$, indepndent of $W_{1,t}^{P}$.
Hence, one can rewrite:
$dS_{1} (t)=S_{1} (t) [\mu_{1}dt+\sigma_{1}dW_{1,t}^{P}]$
$dS_{2} (t)=S_{2} (t) [\mu_{2}dt+\sigma_{2}\rho dW_{1,t}^{P}+\sigma_{2}\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}}W_{0,t}^{P}]$
We propose the new measure $Q$, defined by: $\frac{dQ}{dP}=exp\{\frac{r_{f}-\mu_{1}}{\sigma_{1}}W_{1,t}-\frac{1}{2}(\frac{r_{f}-\mu_{1}}{\sigma_{1}})^{2}t\}$
Under this measure
$W_{1,t}^{Q}=W_{1,t}^{P}+\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}$
$W_{0,t}^{Q}=W_{0,t}^{P}+\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}$
are Standard Brownian Motions under $Q$.
Let us define $W_{2,t}^{Q}=\rho W_{1,t}^{Q}+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}}W_{0,t}^{Q}$, which is also Standard Browniam Motion under $Q$ correlated with $W_{1,t}^{Q}$ with coefficient $\rho$
Hence for assets it holds:
$dS_{1} (t)=S_{1} (t) [r_{f}dt+\sigma_{1}\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}+\sigma_{1}dW_{1,t}^{P}]=S_{1} (t) [r_{f}dt+\sigma_{1}dW_{1,t}^{Q}]$
$dS_{2} (t)=S_{2} (t) [r_{f}dt+\mu_{2}dt-r_{f}dt+\sigma_{2}\rho (dW_{1,t}^{P}+\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}})-\sigma_{2}\rho\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}} +\sigma_{2}\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}}(W_{0,t}^{P}+\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}})-\sigma_{2}\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}}\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}]=S_{2} (t) [r_{f}dt+\sigma_{2}\rho dW_{1,t}^{Q}+\sigma_{2}\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}}dW_{0,t}^{Q}+{(\mu_{2}-r_{f})-\sigma_{2}(\rho+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}})\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}}dt]=S_{2} (t) [r_{f}dt+\sigma_{2}dW_{2,t}^{Q}+{(\mu_{2}-r_{f})-\sigma_{2}(\rho+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}})\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}}dt]$
One can see that discounted process of $S_{1}(t)$ is Martingale, hence measure $Q$ is Eqivalent Martingale Measure.
Accodring to Second Theorem of Asset Pricing it is unique.
Hence, $e^{-r_{f}t} S_{2}(t)$ should be as well martingale.
Hence,
$(\mu_{2}-r_{f})-\sigma_{2}(\rho+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}})\frac{\mu_{1}-r_{f}}{\sigma_{1}}=0$
$\mu_{2}-r_{f}=\frac{\sigma_{2}}{\sigma_{1}}(\rho+\sqrt{1-\rho^{2}})(\mu_{1}-r_{f})$.
Thank you in advance!
## Answer by Mikhail (score 1)
https://quant.stackexchange.com/a/16429
The error is in the application of Girsanov theorem.
We have multivariate Black-Sholes market, however I apply one-dimensional Girsanov theorem.
I should apply multi-dimensional Girsanov theorem.
Then there would be now such equations, except the case for $\rho=1$.
The alike task is formulated here
http://wwwf.imperial.ac.uk/~mdavis/course_material/SDEIRM/IRM08_PROBLEMS3.PDF [Task 2]
The solution is here
http://wwwf.imperial.ac.uk/~mdavis/course_material/SDEIRM/IRM08_SOLUTIONS3.PDF
Thank you guys and sorry for disturbing!
Mikhail.Shown in full with attribution under the source's licence. Licence: CC BY-SA 4.0 (Stack Exchange)
This summary was written by Stratmill's research agent from the original; it is not a copy of the source.