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Uso de fatores Fama-French e AQR para ajuste de risco e benchmarking

Notebook Machine Learning for Trading

Resumo

Este documento apresenta conjuntos públicos de dados de retornos de fatores Fama-French e AQR como entradas para benchmarking, atribuição de risco e pesquisa de fatores. Descreve fatores de mercado, tamanho, valor, lucratividade, investimento e momentum da biblioteca Fama-French, além de séries AQR que abrangem qualidade, baixo beta e conceitos alternativos de valor. Os dados estão disponíveis em frequência mensal; os carregadores também oferecem dados diários Fama-French e filtragem por intervalo de datas.

O fluxo de trabalho abrange o download e o armazenamento em cache dos conjuntos de dados, seu carregamento e perfilamento, e o cálculo da média anualizada, da volatilidade e das estatísticas de Sharpe a partir de retornos mensais. A cobertura dos dados Fama-French descritos começa em 1926, enquanto a cobertura de AQR varia por fator; os provedores definem suas próprias séries e formatos. O material é um guia de acesso e exploração de dados, não uma evidência de que algum fator gere retornos persistentes. Ao usar fatores para ajuste de risco ou avaliação de desempenho, pesquisadores devem considerar as definições dos provedores, o momento das atualizações e os limites das estatísticas-resumo.

Ideias principais

  • Os conjuntos de dados Fama-French fornecem retornos de mercado, tamanho, valor, lucratividade, investimento e momentum para benchmarks de pesquisa.
  • Os conjuntos AQR incluem séries de fatores de qualidade, baixo beta e valor alternativo, com cobertura específica para cada fator.
  • É possível carregar dados em frequências mensal e diária e restringir análises a um intervalo de datas.
  • Cálculos de média anualizada, volatilidade e Sharpe oferecem resumos básicos, mas não comprovam o desempenho futuro dos fatores.
  • As definições dos fatores e os formatos dos dados são estabelecidos pelos provedores; portanto, os resultados dependem da série selecionada e de sua cobertura.

Tags

Texto completo
# Academic Factor Data Dataset


# Academic Factor Data Dataset

Fama-French and AQR factor returns for benchmarking and risk adjustment.

| Property | Value |
|----------|-------|
| **Provider** | Ken French Library, AQR |
| **Asset Class** | Factor Returns |
| **Frequency** | Monthly (daily available) |
| **Factors** | FF3, FF5, Momentum, QMJ, BAB |
| **Coverage** | 1926-present (FF), varies (AQR) |
| **Size** | ~5 MB |
| **API Key** | None (free) |
| **Loader** | `load_ff_factors()`, `load_aqr_factors()` |

```python
"""Academic Factor Data - download, explore, and update workflow."""

from pathlib import Path

import polars as pl
```

## 1. Configuration

Academic factor data is **provider-defined** (no local config file). Each provider
maintains their own factor definitions and data format.

```python
print("=== Academic Factor Configuration ===")
print("\nFama-French (Ken French Library):")
print("  - FF3: Mkt-RF, SMB, HML")
print("  - FF5: FF3 + RMW, CMA")
print("  - Momentum: MOM")
print("  - Coverage: 1926-present")
print("\nAQR Research:")
print("  - QMJ: Quality Minus Junk")
print("  - BAB: Betting Against Beta")
print("  - VME: Value Minus Everything")
print("  - HML Devil: Industry-adjusted value")
print("  - Coverage: varies by factor")
```

## 2. API Key Setup

**No API key required.** Both Ken French Library and AQR provide free public access.

```python
print("Ken French Library: Free, no API key required")
print("  URL: https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html")
print("\nAQR Research: Free, no API key required")
print("  URL: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Datasets")
```

## 3. Download Data

The `ml4t-data` library handles downloading and caching factor data.

```python
def download_ff_factors(
    datasets: list[str] | None = None, frequency: str = "monthly", dry_run: bool = False
):
    """Download Fama-French factor data.

    Args:
        datasets: Specific datasets to download (default: core factors)
        frequency: "monthly" or "daily"
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded
    """
    from ml4t.data.providers.fama_french import FamaFrenchProvider

    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "factors" / "fama-french"

    # Default core datasets
    if datasets is None:
        datasets = ["ff3", "ff5", "mom"]

    print("=== Fama-French Download ===")
    print(f"Datasets: {datasets}")
    print(f"Frequency: {frequency}")
    print(f"Output: {output_dir}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        for ds in datasets:
            print(f"  - {ds}")
        return

    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    provider = FamaFrenchProvider(cache_path=output_dir, use_cache=True)

    print(f"\nDownloading {len(datasets)} datasets...")
    for dataset in datasets:
        print(f"  {dataset}...", end=" ", flush=True)
        try:
            df = provider.fetch(dataset, frequency=frequency)
            print(f"OK ({len(df):,} rows)")
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"ERROR: {e}")

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Data saved to: {output_dir}")


def download_aqr_factors(datasets: list[str] | None = None, dry_run: bool = False):
    """Download AQR factor data.

    Args:
        datasets: Specific datasets to download (default: core factors)
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded
    """
    from ml4t.data.providers.aqr import AQRProvider

    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "factors" / "aqr"

    # Default core datasets
    if datasets is None:
        datasets = ["qmj", "bab"]

    print("=== AQR Download ===")
    print(f"Datasets: {datasets}")
    print(f"Output: {output_dir}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        for ds in datasets:
            print(f"  - {ds}")
        return

    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
    provider = AQRProvider(cache_path=output_dir)

    print(f"\nDownloading {len(datasets)} datasets...")
    for dataset in datasets:
        print(f"  {dataset}...", end=" ", flush=True)
        try:
            df = provider.fetch(dataset)
            print(f"OK ({len(df):,} rows)")
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"ERROR: {e}")

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Data saved to: {output_dir}")
```

### Download Fama-French Factors

```python
# Uncomment to download
# download_ff_factors()
```

### Download AQR Factors

```python
# Uncomment to download
# download_aqr_factors()
```

### Dry Run (Preview)

```python
download_ff_factors(dry_run=True)
```

## 4. Load and Explore

Once downloaded, use the loaders throughout the book:

```python
from data import load_aqr_factors, load_ff_factors
```

### Fama-French Factors

```python
# Load Fama-French factors
ff = load_ff_factors()

print(f"Shape: {ff.shape}")
print(f"Columns: {ff.columns}")
print(f"Date range: {ff['timestamp'].min()} to {ff['timestamp'].max()}")
print(f"Memory: {ff.estimated_size('mb'):.1f} MB")
```

```python
# Preview
ff.tail(10)
```

```python
# Factor statistics (annualized)
factor_cols = [c for c in ff.columns if c not in ["timestamp", "date"]]
print("Factor Annualized Statistics (%):")
for col in factor_cols[:6]:
    series = ff[col].drop_nulls()
    mean_annual = series.mean() * 12  # Monthly to annual
    vol_annual = series.std() * (12**0.5)
    sharpe = mean_annual / vol_annual if vol_annual > 0 else 0
    print(f"  {col:8s}: mean={mean_annual:6.2f}, vol={vol_annual:6.2f}, SR={sharpe:.2f}")
```

### AQR Factors

```python
# Load AQR factors
aqr = load_aqr_factors()

print(f"Shape: {aqr.shape}")
print(f"Columns: {aqr.columns}")
print(f"Date range: {aqr['timestamp'].min()} to {aqr['timestamp'].max()}")
```

```python
# Preview
aqr.tail(10)
```

## 5. Data Profile

```python
from ml4t.data.storage.data_profile import get_profile_path, load_profile

from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

for provider, subdir in [("Fama-French", "fama-french"), ("AQR", "aqr")]:
    profile_path = get_profile_path(ML4T_DATA_PATH / "factors" / subdir)
    profile = load_profile(profile_path)
    if profile is None:
        print(f"No {provider} profile at {profile_path}")
    else:
        print(f"=== {provider} Profile ===")
        print(f"Written by {profile.source}")
        print(profile.summary())

print(
    "\nff_download.py and aqr_download.py unzip the providers' own CSV releases and do\n"
    "not go through ml4t.data.storage.data_profile, so neither carries a profile today.\n"
    "Nothing in this notebook writes one either."
)
```

## 6. Loader Options

The loaders support filtering by frequency and date range:

```python
# Daily frequency
ff_daily = load_ff_factors(frequency="daily")
print(f"FF daily: {ff_daily.shape}")
```

```python
# Date range
recent_ff = load_ff_factors(start_date="2020-01-01")
print(f"FF 2020+: {recent_ff.shape}")
```

## 7. Documentation

### Fama-French Factors

From Ken French's Data Library:

| Factor | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| Mkt-RF | Market excess return |
| SMB | Small Minus Big (size) |
| HML | High Minus Low (value) |
| RMW | Robust Minus Weak (profitability) |
| CMA | Conservative Minus Aggressive (investment) |
| Mom | Momentum (12-1 month return) |

[Ken French Data Library](https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html)

### AQR Factors

Alternative factors from AQR Capital:

| Factor | Description |
|--------|-------------|
| QMJ | Quality Minus Junk (profitability, growth, safety) |
| BAB | Betting Against Beta (low-beta premium) |
| VME | Value Minus Everything (alternative value) |
| HML Devil | Value with industry adjustment |

[AQR Datasets](https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Datasets)

## 8. Updating Data

To update with the latest data:

```python
# Update Fama-French factors
download_ff_factors()

# Update AQR factors
download_aqr_factors()
```

Factor data is typically updated monthly.

## Summary

| Item | Value |
|------|-------|
| Providers | Ken French, AQR |
| Frequencies | Monthly, Daily |
| Coverage | 1926-present (FF), varies (AQR) |
| API Key | None (free) |
| Loaders | `load_ff_factors()`, `load_aqr_factors()` |

**Primary use**: Risk attribution, alpha measurement, factor investing research.

Exibido na íntegra, com atribuição conforme a licença da fonte. Licença: MIT

Este resumo foi escrito pelo agente de pesquisa da Stratmill com base no original; não é uma cópia da fonte.