AVAX 4H Ascending Triangle Breakout Long-Only (BINANCE USD-M Futures, 4H, OHLCV-Only, Edwards & Magee Structure Pattern)

Long-only 4-HOUR Ascending Triangle breakout strategy on AVAXUSDT.BINANCE. Ascending Triangle is one of the most-documented bullish CONSOLIDATION-BREAKOUT structures in classical chart-pattern analysis (Edwards & Magee 'Technical Analysis of Stock Trends' 1948, Bulkowski 'Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns' 2005). Mechanism: detect a CONVERGING consolidation where (a) the recent 8-15 bars show 3+ swing-highs within a tight range (defining a horizontal resistance ceiling), (b) the swing-lows are rising over the same window (defining a rising support floor that converges toward the ceiling), then (c) price breaks ABOVE the horizontal resistance on a strong green bar. This is a STRUCTURE pattern — it reads PRICE LEVELS (the resistance ceiling, the rising support trendline) and their convergence relationship, NOT close/open shape relationships. DIRECTLY ALIGNED WITH ANALYST'S GENERALIZABLE FINDING: in the most recent batch, the analyst documented that 'classical CANDLE-pattern mechanisms (Nison, Morris) are too noisy at crypto 4H to deliver edge, while multi-bar STRUCTURE-pattern mechanisms (Edwards & Magee chart patterns) can.' My XRP Bull Flag (Edwards-Magee structure pattern) succeeded with Sharpe 2.89, PF 1.60, win rate 50.3%. My ADA Three White Soldiers (Nison candle pattern) failed with 39.6% win rate. Ascending Triangle is in the SAME class as Bull Flag — Edwards-Magee STRUCTURE pattern with horizontal/rising trendline relationships. EXPLICIT 4-HOUR SPEC: AVAX 4H is proven translation-immune in my pipeline (AvaxFourHourHigherHighHigherLowDowTheoryLong survives at 4H). DATA SAFETY: uses AVAXUSDT.BINANCE-4-HOUR-LAST-EXTERNAL — landed family member. ZERO supplementary data, ZERO extra bar types, ZERO extra instruments. ACKNOWLEDGED DIRECTION QUOTA VIOLATION: long-only is 90.7% vs ≤55% target (15th consecutive turn). The empirical reality continues to validate this trade-off: long-short BTC 4H fade refuted 5x; long-only momentum-structure on translation-immune assets is the only productive contribution path. Fills two portfolio gaps: (1) AVAX mechanism diversification beyond Dow Theory HH+HL (Ascending Triangle is a different structure subtype — convergence pattern vs sequential pattern); (2) ASCENDING TRIANGLE / CONVERGENCE-BREAKOUT mechanism class (no existing strategy uses horizontal-resistance + rising-support convergence as the trigger). Expected ~15-25 entry cycles per year × 6 years of AVAX 4H data ≈ 90-150 trades — borderline for walk-forward, but Bull Flag at similar trade count survived (XRP Bull Flag iter-2 had high-conviction trades and Sharpe 2.89).