BNB Daily Morning Star Reversal Long with 200-SMA Bull Regime Filter

A long-only single-instrument 3-BAR CANDLESTICK-PATTERN strategy on BNBUSDT perpetual futures using daily bars and OHLCV-only data, with a 200-SMA bull regime filter. The trigger is the classic 'Morning Star' pattern documented by Steve Nison (Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques, 1991) and widely tested across asset classes for ~35 years. Morning Star is a SPECIFIC 3-BAR TEMPORAL SEQUENCE: Bar 1 is a long bearish candle (continuation of a prior down-move); Bar 2 is a small-body candle (doji/spinning top — indecision and exhaustion of the down-move); Bar 3 is a long bullish candle that closes above the midpoint of Bar 1's body (reversal initiation). This is mechanistically NOVEL within the portfolio: every existing candlestick strategy fires on either 1-bar (Hammer rejection, Inside Day compression) or 2-bar (Engulfing) configurations. NO existing strategy fires on a 3-bar temporal sequence. The 3-bar requirement means Morning Star captures a fundamentally different microstructure: it requires the market to traverse three distinct states — continuation, exhaustion-pause, reversal-initiation — across three full trading sessions. This makes the signal far stricter (and therefore sparser but higher-quality) than 1-bar or 2-bar patterns. The economic mechanism: Bar 1 represents committed sellers; Bar 2's small body shows seller commitment exhausted (no follow-through despite the bear setup); Bar 3 confirms buyer takeover with a strong bullish close above Bar 1's midpoint. BNB is chosen specifically because it is the most UNDERUTILIZED asset in the portfolio (only BnbFourHourVolumeBreakoutLong currently — 1 strategy vs 2-3 for every other tracked asset). BNB has well-documented daily-candlestick reversal dynamics driven by its Binance-ecosystem-specific flows: BNB-burn events, exchange-token-utility cycles, and broader Binance regulatory news produce sharp directional moves followed by clean reversal patterns. Daily timeframe is canonical for candlestick patterns (Nison's original tests were primarily daily). Only 3 explicit parameters (regime SMA period, body-size ratio for the indecision bar, stop-loss pct) — minimum-parameter-count for a 3-bar pattern strategy.