Hypotheses
Post-Unlock Supply Absorption on Binance Spot: Recovery After Scheduled Insider Distribution
Original research hypothesis: buy a completed cliff-unlock event only after the scheduled supply release and an initial price recovery, then hold seven days. Trade APT, ARB, OP, SUI and AVAX independently on 4-HOUR…
Hypothesis
Original research hypothesis: buy a completed cliff-unlock event only after the scheduled supply release and an initial price recovery, then hold seven days. Trade APT, ARB, OP, SUI and AVAX independently on 4-HOUR Binance spot bars. This tests post-distribution relief, not the prior-art pre-unlock Bybit short/BTC hedge. Historical unlock schedules, publication vintages and circulating supply are missing and explicitly requested; do not start a price-only substitute. Market orders execute at the signal-bar close, the registry equivalent of next-bar-open execution on continuous markets. Intrabar protective stops are platform-matched; no exchange-hosted protection is required. No preliminary performance study was run.
Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.