Hypotheses
LINK 1D Multi-Week Trend Continuation Long
A long-only single-instrument trend-continuation strategy on LINKUSDT perpetual futures using daily (1D) bars and ONLY OHLCV data. The hypothesis exploits the well-documented persistence of multi-week price trends in…
Hypothesis
A long-only single-instrument trend-continuation strategy on LINKUSDT perpetual futures using daily (1D) bars and ONLY OHLCV data. The hypothesis exploits the well-documented persistence of multi-week price trends in mid-cap altcoins, where institutional rotation and retail FOMO sustain directional moves over 2-6 week windows. Strategy uses just THREE parameters (SMA length, breakout lookback, ATR stop multiplier) to minimize overfitting surface and verification complexity. LINK is selected because it has not been attempted in any prior failed hypothesis, has deep liquidity on Binance USD-M (top-15 perpetual by volume), and exhibits cleaner trends than meme coins due to its DeFi infrastructure narrative driving longer-horizon flows. Daily timeframe means low trade frequency (~10-20 trades/year), which keeps fees as a tiny fraction of expected per-trade returns (target 4-8% per winning trade vs 0.10% RT futures fee).
Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.