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Hypotheses

AVAX Breakout-Throwback Continuation — Long-Short, Single-Instrument: Enter on the PULLBACK Retest of a Freshly Broken Range Level (Not the Break Itself), Tight Stop Below the Reclaimed Level, Measured-Move Target (BINANCE AVAXUSDT USD-M, 4H Bars, Pure OHLCV, 3-Parameter)

A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument directional-continuation strategy on AVAXUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perp that captures the surviving edge class of the factory (directional momentum on a liquid alt) via a DISTINCT, non-clone…

Hypothesis

A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument directional-continuation strategy on AVAXUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perp that captures the surviving edge class of the factory (directional momentum on a liquid alt) via a DISTINCT, non-clone entry structure: the BREAKOUT THROWBACK. Instead of buying the raw breakout (the vol-squeeze expansion breakout is a proven net loser — breakouts fail too often and the entry stop is far), it WAITS for price to break a recent range extreme, then PULL BACK to retest the broken level (former resistance……Show moreShow less

A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument directional-continuation strategy on AVAXUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perp that captures the surviving edge class of the factory (directional momentum on a liquid alt) via a DISTINCT, non-clone entry structure: the BREAKOUT THROWBACK. Instead of buying the raw breakout (the vol-squeeze expansion breakout is a proven net loser — breakouts fail too often and the entry stop is far), it WAITS for price to break a recent range extreme, then PULL BACK to retest the broken level (former resistance becoming support, or vice versa), and only enters when the level HOLDS and price resumes in the breakout direction. This deliberately sits outside every dead/blocked family: NOT dual-TF momentum-confluence (0/213, the EMA-agreement template just killed 3x), NOT raw breakout-continuation (vol-squeeze, net loser), NOT the CME-gap or liquidity-sweep reversals, NOT funding/OI-gated (L70/L71), NOT liquidation-feed (only 68d of data), NOT Polymarket (data uncollectable in sandbox), NOT options (timeout graveyard), NOT cross-venue/rotation (injection/0-125 deaths). It uses ONLY OHLCV on multi-year Binance history (no significance trap, no data-availability risk). It structurally answers the two dominant killers: (1) L19 DRAWDOWN BREACH — the throwback entry sits right at the reclaimed level, so the stop is TIGHT (just beyond it) and each loss is small, capping per-trade and portfolio drawdown, unlike the open-ended trend clones that hit 56-76% DD; (2) FEE GRAVEYARD — the tight stop plus a measured-move target gives a high reward:risk on a multi-percent 4H alt move, so per-trade capture is many times the 0.10% round trip, not a sub-fee scalp. Traded on a liquid ALT the recent queue hasn't used (AVAX, not BTC/ETH/SOL/ADA/XRP), long-short (fills the starved 14.3% bucket), 3 tunable parameters.

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.