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ETH Order-Book Depth-Imbalance Directional, Long-Short (Single-Instrument ETHUSDT.BINANCE Perp, ORDER-BOOK-DELTAS Driven — Top-N-Level Bid/Ask Depth Imbalance, Enter With Persistent Strong Resting-Liquidity Skew, Fee-Aware High Threshold, Minutes Holds, Time-Stopped, 3-Parameter)

Hypothesis

A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument strategy on ETHUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual that trades from the RESTING ORDER BOOK (order_book_deltas) — a data primitive and mechanism distinct from every strategy this session, all of which died. The evidence forcing this: every bar-based directional edge on majors is now proven to be noise at the fee boundary (dual-TF confluence family ALL abandoned at Sharpe 0.3–0.45/PF~1.19 over 700–2100 trades; HL trend basket Sharpe 0.29; rotation variants died on inverted per-trade RR). Bars aggregate away the microstructure where informed intent is visible. This strategy reads ORDER-BOOK IMBALANCE (OBI): the ratio of cumulative bid depth to ask depth across the top N price levels. A strong, persistent skew toward the bid means resting buy liquidity dominates — short-term price tends to drift up as sell flow is absorbed and the book pulls higher; a strong ask skew predicts the reverse. This is the well-documented OBI predictor and is CROSS-primitive-distinct from the pending BtcOrderFlowImbalanceContinuationTickDriven (which reads ACTIVE aggressive trade flow / CVD): active taker flow vs passive resting depth are different, complementary microstructure signals, on different assets (ETH vs BTC). It is NOT a fade (the dead reversion family): it goes WITH the direction the book pressure implies. The decisive design choice is FEE-AWARENESS: OBI edges are small per event, so the strategy fires ONLY on rare, extreme, PERSISTENT imbalances (high threshold sustained over a short window, not a single snapshot — which also filters spoofing/flicker) that historically precede a move exceeding the ~0.10% round-trip cost, with a >=2:1 target:stop and a fast time stop. Fills the under-represented SHORT horizon (8.9% vs 10%) and long_short direction (13.6%), and introduces the order-book-deltas primitive absent from the portfolio. Single instrument, single venue (no cross-venue infra trap). ETH has deep, liquid book data on Binance with multi-year history → high, measurable trade count. Adds to over-represented BINANCE — accepted; book-data depth/quality is the reason and this is an exploratory probe of the one encouraged niche (microstructure) where an edge can structurally survive.

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.