Hypotheses
AVAX Funding-Extreme Crowd-Fade, Long-Short (AVAXUSDT.BINANCE USD-M, 4H Bars): Fade the Over-Leveraged Perp Crowd When 8h Funding Reaches a Trailing Percentile Extreme, ATR Stop + Time Exit, 3-Parameter
A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument, DIRECTIONAL strategy on AVAXUSDT.BINANCE (USD-M perp). Trigger: 8h funding at a TRAILING-90d percentile EXTREME, sustained over two consecutive prints. When funding is…
Hypothesis
A LONG-SHORT, single-instrument, DIRECTIONAL strategy on AVAXUSDT.BINANCE (USD-M perp). Trigger: 8h funding at a TRAILING-90d percentile EXTREME, sustained over two consecutive prints. When funding is top-5th-percentile the perp crowd is aggressively long and paying premium (over-leveraged one-sided book) -> SHORT; bottom-5th -> LONG; flat otherwise. Distinct from delta-neutral carry-HARVEST (L87) and persistent WITH-funding carry-tilt: this is OUTRIGHT directional, OPPOSITE the funding sign, firing only on rare extremes. Backtestable today on ~5y AVAX USD-M OHLCV + Binance funding.
Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.