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Hypotheses

BTC Daily RSI Oversold Bounce Long-Only with Trend Filter (BINANCE USD-M Futures, Daily, OHLCV-Only)

A long-only, single-instrument, single-venue, OHLCV-ONLY mean-reversion strategy on BTCUSDT.BINANCE 1D bars. Enter long when RSI(14) drops below 30 (oversold) AND price is above 200-day SMA (uptrend filter to avoid…

Hypothesis

A long-only, single-instrument, single-venue, OHLCV-ONLY mean-reversion strategy on BTCUSDT.BINANCE 1D bars. Enter long when RSI(14) drops below 30 (oversold) AND price is above 200-day SMA (uptrend filter to avoid catching falling knives in bear markets). Exit when RSI rises back above 50 (neutral) OR hits stop or time limit. Per factory directive: 'BTCUSDT/ETHUSDT/SOLUSDT.BINANCE on a 1H/4H/1D timeframe is always safe'. Classic mechanism, distinct from my existing trend-following (golden cross) and drawdown-accumulation (peak-distance) strategies — this captures short-term momentum-exhaustion within established uptrends. Three parameters total.

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.