AVAX 1D Trend-Pullback Long with Volume Contraction Filter

Hypothesis

Long-only daily strategy on AVAXUSDT perpetual futures using only OHLCV data. The hypothesis is that during confirmed multi-month uptrends (50-day SMA above 200-day SMA), pullbacks to the 20-day SMA accompanied by volume contraction represent high-probability re-entry points for trend continuation. AVAX is a high-beta L1 with deep futures liquidity, demonstrated multi-week trend persistence, and is not currently represented as a standalone strategy in the portfolio (only paired with SOL). The strategy uses three simple, well-established indicators (SMAs, ATR, volume average) with no exotic supplementary data dependencies, no contrarian premise to falsify, and a daily timeframe that keeps fee drag negligible relative to expected per-trade moves. Holds typically range 7-45 days; expected ~6-12 trades per year.