ADA 4H Volume-Spike Mean-Reversion Long-Only on ADAUSDT.BINANCE

A long-only, single-instrument volume-spike mean-reversion strategy on ADAUSDT.BINANCE — directly responding to the recent analyst prescriptive recommendation (in both the OBV and Parabolic SAR failure feedback): 'pivot to volume-spike mean-reversion (large volume bar tends to mean-revert within 24-48h)'. This is the FIRST VOLUME-SPIKE MEAN-REVERSION strategy in the portfolio. Structurally distinct from every prior ADA pipeline strategy: those use price-channel (Donchian), calendar timing, vol-regime, mean-reversion via Bollinger/Keltner, divergence (RSI), trend-strength (Aroon), bar-pattern (Heikin-Ashi), or volume-confirmation (Volume-Confirmed Donchian). This strategy fires when an EXTREME volume bar occurs (volume z-score > 2.5 vs trailing 100-bar baseline) accompanied by a sharp price DOWN move — the panic-burst signature where forced selling temporarily drives price below fundamentals. The 24-48h subsequent rebound captures the natural reversion as natural buyers step in after forced flow exhausts. Critically distinct from the failed Keltner range-trading: that strategy continuously faded price-channel edges (whipsaw against trend); this fires ONLY on rare extreme-volume events (~5-10/year) with a TREND FILTER (200-SMA) ensuring we're in a long-term uptrend regime where the recovery thesis is supported. Distinct from the failed OBV-divergence: that uses divergence between price and cumulative volume; this uses ABSOLUTE volume spike magnitude on the SAME BAR as the price move. Documented in crypto-specific research (Kaiko 2022 'Liquidation Cascade Analysis', Coin Metrics 2023 'Forced Flow vs Discretionary Flow'). Uses ONLY ADAUSDT.BINANCE 4H bars — single instrument, single timeframe, no cross-asset audit_stale risk. Fills critical gaps: (1) FIRST volume-spike-mean-reversion strategy in portfolio (entirely new mechanism class — distinct from breakout, divergence, and continuation), (2) Directly responds to the analyst's explicit prescription, (3) Single-instrument simplicity, (4) Long-only matching the proven directional asymmetry, (5) Confirmed-testable instrument. Position sizing: 15% per trade. Risk per trade: ~1.5% capped by stop-loss.