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All hypotheses

Hypotheses

BTC Funding-Regime Trend Continuation, Long-Short (Single-Instrument BTCUSDT.BINANCE Perp — NEW Information Source: Hold WITH the Persistent FUNDING-RATE Regime (Sustained Positive = Bull Leverage / Negative = Bear) When Price Agrees, ATR-Trailing, 3-Parameter)

A LONG-SHORT directional strategy on the BTCUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual that trades WITH the persistent FUNDING-RATE REGIME — a new-information-source (funding) idea used in the CONTINUATION direction, per L38, and…

Hypothesis

A LONG-SHORT directional strategy on the BTCUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual that trades WITH the persistent FUNDING-RATE REGIME — a new-information-source (funding) idea used in the CONTINUATION direction, per L38, and aligned with the one edge that survives (momentum/trend), unlike every BTC fade this session (funding-contrarian/deleveraging, liquidation, OI-divergence, DVOL/skew/term extremes — all dead). It is explicitly NOT the dead funding-CONTRARIAN (which faded funding extremes) and NOT the banned……Show moreShow less

A LONG-SHORT directional strategy on the BTCUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual that trades WITH the persistent FUNDING-RATE REGIME — a new-information-source (funding) idea used in the CONTINUATION direction, per L38, and aligned with the one edge that survives (momentum/trend), unlike every BTC fade this session (funding-contrarian/deleveraging, liquidation, OI-divergence, DVOL/skew/term extremes — all dead). It is explicitly NOT the dead funding-CONTRARIAN (which faded funding extremes) and NOT the banned delta-neutral funding-CARRY (L33): it treats the SIGN and PERSISTENCE of funding as a leverage-sentiment REGIME and rides it directionally. Thesis: sustained POSITIVE funding means leveraged demand is persistently long (a bull regime that tends to continue); sustained NEGATIVE funding means persistent short/bear leverage. Holding a position aligned with the persistent funding regime AND the price trend captures the leverage-driven continuation, while disagreement (funding regime vs price) signals a fragile/transition state → flat. It uses a WELL-COVERED funding feed (no coverage ceiling like taker/L-S, no no-trades/no-edge like the options feeds), trades the liquid BTC perp (dev-safe, signal=execution), single instrument, long-short (fills the 13.5% bucket vs 86.5% long-only), 4H cadence for a measurable ~100-200 trade sample, ATR trail to ride continuation. 3 parameters.

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.