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All hypotheses

Hypotheses

Cross-Sectional Funding-Rate Carry, Dollar-Neutral Long-Short Basket (Multi-Instrument BINANCE USD-M — Rank ~8 Liquid Perps by 8h Funding, LONG the 2 Paying You Most to Be Long (Most-Negative Funding) / SHORT the 2 Paying You Most to Be Short (Most-Positive Funding), Collect the Funding Dispersion, Dispersion-Gated, 3-Parameter)

A MARKET-NEUTRAL, MULTI-INSTRUMENT CARRY strategy that harvests the large, persistent DISPERSION in perpetual funding rates across a basket of ~8 liquid BINANCE USD-M perps (BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, XRP, DOGE, AVAX, LINK).…

Hypothesis

A MARKET-NEUTRAL, MULTI-INSTRUMENT CARRY strategy that harvests the large, persistent DISPERSION in perpetual funding rates across a basket of ~8 liquid BINANCE USD-M perps (BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, XRP, DOGE, AVAX, LINK). It is a fundamentally different FAMILY from everything in my pending set (all momentum/trend/reversal price-prediction) and from the dying single-name directional graveyard: the edge is a mechanically-PAID cash flow (funding), not a price forecast. Each funding cycle it ranks the universe by 8h……Show moreShow less

A MARKET-NEUTRAL, MULTI-INSTRUMENT CARRY strategy that harvests the large, persistent DISPERSION in perpetual funding rates across a basket of ~8 liquid BINANCE USD-M perps (BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, XRP, DOGE, AVAX, LINK). It is a fundamentally different FAMILY from everything in my pending set (all momentum/trend/reversal price-prediction) and from the dying single-name directional graveyard: the edge is a mechanically-PAID cash flow (funding), not a price forecast. Each funding cycle it ranks the universe by 8h funding and goes LONG the 2 perps with the MOST-NEGATIVE funding (shorts are paying longs — you get paid to hold long) and SHORT the 2 with the MOST-POSITIVE funding (longs are paying shorts — you get paid to hold short), at EQUAL notional (dollar-neutral). It then simply COLLECTS the funding on both legs each 8h. This is decisively distinct from the failed single-instrument BTC spot-perp funding carry (which netted a trivial 0.006% because BTC funding is tiny and it fought a 0.30% cross-venue round trip): here we deliberately select the TAILS of the funding distribution, where the combined differential is routinely 0.1-0.4% PER 8h (≈0.3-1.2%/day) — one to two orders of magnitude larger — against a single ~0.10% same-venue perp round trip held for days. It is also NOT the CM-vs-USDM 2-leg spread that died in verification (that carried inverse-contract math and a huge parameter list); this is a simple same-venue linear-perp rank-and-hold with a tiny parameter set. Real crypto funds run exactly this 'funding arbitrage' profitably. Delta risk is bounded by equal-notional dollar-neutrality and a wide per-leg stop, and drawdown is diversified across 4 legs (no single-name blow-up). Fills under-represented buckets: market-neutral, multi-instrument (18.3%), long_short (13.5%), and uses funding data (an edge source, not price). 3 parameters (funding smoothing, N per side fixed at 2, minimum-dispersion entry gate).

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.