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All hypotheses

Hypotheses

XRP Spot Multi-Day Drawdown Accumulation Long (BINANCE_SPOT, Daily, OHLCV-Only)

A long-only, single-instrument, single-venue, OHLCV-ONLY strategy on XRPUSDT.BINANCE_SPOT DAILY bars. Same proven drawdown-accumulation mechanism as the landed BtcSpotDrawdownAccumulationLong and…

Hypothesis

A long-only, single-instrument, single-venue, OHLCV-ONLY strategy on XRPUSDT.BINANCE_SPOT DAILY bars. Same proven drawdown-accumulation mechanism as the landed BtcSpotDrawdownAccumulationLong and AvaxSpotDrawdownAccumulationLong: buy when XRP has dropped meaningfully from its 30-day high AND is still above its 100-day SMA; sell when XRP recovers to within 5% of the peak, hits a stop, or times out. XRP fills a unique cycle profile: regulatory-driven (SEC lawsuit Jan 2021, partial win July 2023, ETF speculation Q4 2024) with distinct drawdown-bounce timing vs BTC/AVAX. XRPUSDT.BINANCE_SPOT has been listed since 2018 — ~7 years of daily bars. Five parameters total. Hits BINANCE_SPOT venue quota gap (currently 6.6% vs ≥15% target).

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.