Hypotheses
DOGE Multi-Timeframe Weekly-Trend + Daily-Pullback Long (Triple Screen)
A LONG-ONLY multi-timeframe strategy on DOGEUSDT.BINANCE perpetual futures (Binance USD-M) using BOTH WEEKLY bars (trend filter) and DAILY bars (entry timing). The mechanism is Alexander Elder's 'Triple Screen Trading…
Hypothesis
A LONG-ONLY multi-timeframe strategy on DOGEUSDT.BINANCE perpetual futures (Binance USD-M) using BOTH WEEKLY bars (trend filter) and DAILY bars (entry timing). The mechanism is Alexander Elder's 'Triple Screen Trading System' (Elder 1993 'Trading for a Living', refined in 'New Trading for a Living' 2014): higher timeframe defines the regime, lower timeframe times the entry. Specifically: enter long DOGE on the daily bar when (a) the WEEKLY trend is confirmed UP (weekly close > weekly 10-period SMA, weekly 10-SMA……Show moreShow less
A LONG-ONLY multi-timeframe strategy on DOGEUSDT.BINANCE perpetual futures (Binance USD-M) using BOTH WEEKLY bars (trend filter) and DAILY bars (entry timing). The mechanism is Alexander Elder's 'Triple Screen Trading System' (Elder 1993 'Trading for a Living', refined in 'New Trading for a Living' 2014): higher timeframe defines the regime, lower timeframe times the entry. Specifically: enter long DOGE on the daily bar when (a) the WEEKLY trend is confirmed UP (weekly close > weekly 10-period SMA, weekly 10-SMA > weekly 40-SMA), AND (b) today's DAILY close has pulled back below the daily 20-SMA (short-term oversold within long-term uptrend). Exit on daily reclaim of the 20-SMA, ATR-based stop, or 10-day time-stop. This is structurally distinct from every pipeline strategy and every session-failed mechanism: (1) ALL 12 pipeline strategies use a SINGLE timeframe — this is the first multi-timeframe strategy; (2) DOGE has ZERO pipeline exposure (instrument diversification); (3) the combined trend+pullback signal is fundamentally different from pure trend-following (Tier 1 failed 4x), pure breakouts (Tier 2 failed 3x), pure mean reversion (sub-daily MR failed), and from the XRP 20-SMA pullback (which uses only daily, no weekly trend filter). DOGE is the chosen instrument because: (1) listed on Binance USD-M since July 2020 (5+ years multi-year data), (2) NOT deprecated — DOGE is one of the most actively traded crypto majors and is even on Binance Options (BTC/ETH/BNB/SOL/XRP/DOGE per data infrastructure spec), (3) DOGE has distinct explosive-cycle microstructure (Elon-tweet/meme-driven moves) that produces especially clean weekly trends when they occur, (4) DOGE's higher volatility (~80-120% annualized vs BTC's ~60%) means meaningful per-trade moves of 5-10% can develop within the 10-day holding window, easily clearing fee drag. The dual-timeframe filter is the structural answer to the session's failed-mechanism pattern: requiring TWO independent confirmations (weekly trend + daily pullback) before entering naturally filters out the chop-regime whipsaws that killed pure single-timeframe trend-following strategies.
Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.