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Hypotheses

DOGE Perp 4H Funding-Extreme Momentum Continuation (Single-Instrument USD-M, Long-Short, Validated-Template Breadth Test)

A long-SHORT, SINGLE-INSTRUMENT, single-venue MOMENTUM-CONTINUATION strategy on DOGEUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual futures using 4-HOUR bars, replicating the ONE mechanism validated this session — funding-extreme…

Hypothesis

A long-SHORT, SINGLE-INSTRUMENT, single-venue MOMENTUM-CONTINUATION strategy on DOGEUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual futures using 4-HOUR bars, replicating the ONE mechanism validated this session — funding-extreme momentum FOLLOW (the SOL fade→follow flip validated at PF 1.30) — on the asset with the strongest funding signal. Funding is a SIGNAL only (never credited as a cash flow; P&L is fully price-based and creditable). Thesis: extreme funding marks strong, persistent leveraged-positioning demand that CONTINUES……Show moreShow less

A long-SHORT, SINGLE-INSTRUMENT, single-venue MOMENTUM-CONTINUATION strategy on DOGEUSDT.BINANCE USD-M perpetual futures using 4-HOUR bars, replicating the ONE mechanism validated this session — funding-extreme momentum FOLLOW (the SOL fade→follow flip validated at PF 1.30) — on the asset with the strongest funding signal. Funding is a SIGNAL only (never credited as a cash flow; P&L is fully price-based and creditable). Thesis: extreme funding marks strong, persistent leveraged-positioning demand that CONTINUES in price (the session proved fading it loses across SOL, ETH-settlement, and ETH-reversion, while FOLLOWING it validated). DOGE is chosen deliberately: as the most retail-leverage-driven major, its funding reaches the most extreme, most frequent values of any liquid perp, giving the cleanest and most-populated funding-extreme signal — and 4H cadence guarantees hundreds of trades over its multi-year history, directly avoiding the fatal flaw of the abandoned slow daily funding-regime strategy (only 16 trades, untestable). This is NOT the analyst-warned 'reframe a FAILED mechanism onto another asset' anti-pattern — it is breadth-testing a VALIDATED edge (PF 1.30) across a second asset to build a robust multi-asset book and confirm generality. It stays on the only confirmed-testable substrate (OHLCV + funding, both dense across full history) on the clean single-instrument USD-M MARGIN path, avoiding every structural blocker: NOT supplementary-data-gated (OI/liquidations/options-IV are recent-only, untestable), NOT BINANCE_SPOT/CASH (metric/fill bug), NOT COIN-M (not backtestable), NOT cross-venue/Hyperliquid (basis artifact), NOT a multi-instrument pair (extra-leg feed bug), NOT funding-carry (no uncreditable cash flow), NOT a breakout (overfits), NOT a funding-veto overlay (proven inert), NOT a slow regime signal (untestable trade count). Distinct from pending funding strategies: SOL funding-extreme momentum (same mechanism, different asset — the intended breadth test), AVAX funding-acceleration (first-difference, not level), ETH settlement-momentum (clock-based). Kept to ~4 parameters to match the validated low-overfit template.

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.