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Hypotheses

US Sector-ETF Cross-Sectional Momentum Rotation with Absolute-Momentum Cash Escape (11 SPDR Sectors, Monthly Rebalance, Daily Bars, Long-Only Breadth, USEQ)

A LONG-ONLY, MULTI-INSTRUMENT, cross-sectional momentum rotation across the 11 S&P sector SPDR ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLB, XLU, XLRE, XLC), traded on the commission-free USEQ venue on 1-DAY bars. This…

Hypothesis

A LONG-ONLY, MULTI-INSTRUMENT, cross-sectional momentum rotation across the 11 S&P sector SPDR ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLB, XLU, XLRE, XLC), traded on the commission-free USEQ venue on 1-DAY bars. This is a DELIBERATE mechanism/asset-class pivot away from the flagged AAVE dual-timeframe crypto momentum-confluence idea (which died overfit, similarity 0.865) and away from the entire saturated single-instrument crypto trend family (L91/L92). Instead of one high-vol crypto symbol, the edge here is……Show moreShow less

A LONG-ONLY, MULTI-INSTRUMENT, cross-sectional momentum rotation across the 11 S&P sector SPDR ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLB, XLU, XLRE, XLC), traded on the commission-free USEQ venue on 1-DAY bars. This is a DELIBERATE mechanism/asset-class pivot away from the flagged AAVE dual-timeframe crypto momentum-confluence idea (which died overfit, similarity 0.865) and away from the entire saturated single-instrument crypto trend family (L91/L92). Instead of one high-vol crypto symbol, the edge here is BREADTH: ranking a wide, economically-distinct cross-section and holding only the strongest names. This directly addresses why the 25-name beta-neutral residual-momentum book failed (its small, beta-stripped cross-section collapsed the quintile spread, per the 2026-09-07 UseqResidualMomentum abandon) — sector SPDRs are the classic momentum cross-section with a demonstrably wide and persistent leader/laggard spread, and this is a RAW (not beta-neutralized) long-only tilt, so the spread is not stripped away. An absolute-momentum overlay (rotate to a cash/treasury proxy when even the leaders are negative) prevents the strategy from being fully invested through bear markets — the failure mode of naive relative-momentum. Decades of split-adjusted daily history make this the most robustly walk-forward-validatable family in the factory. This is NOT a USEQ classical-anomaly port (L74 covers calendar/seasonality/dual-TF-trend/sector-reversion/staples-pairs) — it is cross-sectional relative-strength breadth, the one equity archetype the prompt lists first and that recent runs (CrossAssetDefensiveDualMomentumEtfRotation, MacroThreeAssetMomentumRotation) show surviving into optimization.

Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.