AVAX Daily Ichimoku Cloud Bullish Breakout Long-Only (Single-Asset AVAXUSDT.BINANCE Daily, Hosoda 1969 Multi-Component Trend System, Bars-Only)

Single-asset long-only strategy using the ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO system (Hosoda 1969) as a multi-component trend confirmation signal — a GENUINELY NEW mechanism class never tested in the portfolio. This proposal addresses EVERY documented failure mode from the analyst's accumulated post-mortems: (a) bars-only — NO supp_data dependency (the analyst has now confirmed 7+ failures from supp_data fallbacks: premium_index, L/S ratio, taker_ratio, HL funding all confirmed unavailable in production), (b) single-asset AVAX — diversifies asset focus from the BTC/ETH/SOL concentration in current pipeline (AVAX is a major L1 with 4+ years of Binance USD-M history but NO direct single-asset strategy currently), (c) single-venue Binance USD-M (sane backtest engine, no cross-venue execution gap, no multi-instrument backtest accounting bug), (d) long-only (no short-leg alt-season blowup), (e) MID-LONG horizon (daily bars with 2-8 week holds — NOT macro horizon which the analyst confirmed is structurally incompatible with factory walk-forward), (f) genuinely novel mechanism — Ichimoku combines THREE independent bars-only sub-signals into a single composite (Tenkan/Kijun cross + price above cloud + cloud color) which is fundamentally different from single-signal EMA crossovers, single-indicator KER/Aroon/ADX, or volume-based breakouts. The classic 'three-line bullish breakout' requires: (1) Tenkan-sen (9-day high-low midpoint) crosses above Kijun-sen (26-day high-low midpoint) — short-term momentum turns up, (2) current close is above the Ichimoku Cloud (Senkou Span A + B from 26 periods ago) — long-term trend is up, (3) cloud itself is green (Senkou Span A > Senkou Span B) — forward-looking trend bias is bullish. ALL THREE conditions together is a high-conviction filter. Hosoda's research and 50+ years of replication across equities, FX, and commodities (Patel 2010 'Trading with Ichimoku Clouds', Murphy 1999) consistently shows multi-component Ichimoku signals outperform single-line crossovers because they require simultaneous confirmation across multiple horizons. AVAX has had multi-month uptrends (2021 Q3-Q4, 2024 Q1, 2024 Q4) that Ichimoku-filtered systems would capture cleanly. Bars-only, NO supp_data dependency, NO fallback path. 3 parameters total (tenkan_period, kijun_period, senkou_period — Hosoda's standard 9/26/52 defaults with narrow optimization range).