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Ein eingefrorener, survivorship-bias-freier US-Aktien-Datensatz

Code Machine Learning for Trading

Zusammenfassung

Dieses Dokument beschreibt einen täglichen Datensatz zu US-Aktien aus dem Wiki-Prices-Archiv von NASDAQ Data Link. Er umfasst Tausende Unternehmen von 1962 bis März 2018 und enthält dekotierte Unternehmen, wodurch er sich für historische Forschung eignet, die Survivorship Bias verringern soll. Preise sind um Splits und Dividenden bereinigt; bei einigen illiquiden Aktien fehlen Handelstage. Das Archiv ist eingefroren und kann über sein letztes Datum hinaus nicht erweitert werden.

Der begleitende Ablauf erklärt, wie Sie die Daten beziehen und laden, Schema und Abdeckung prüfen und nach Ticker oder Datumsbereich filtern. Er beschreibt außerdem, wie sich jährliche Symbolzahlen überprüfen und Symbole mit hohem durchschnittlichem Volumen ermitteln lassen. Dies sind Verfahren zur Erkundung und zum Zugriff auf den Datensatz, keine Handelsstrategie. Forschende sollten Lücken bei weniger liquiden Namen und die Grenze von Ende -2018 berücksichtigen; Studien, die aktuellere Preise erfordern, benötigen eine andere Quelle. Das Dokument erwähnt alternative Anbieter, vergleicht jedoch weder deren Qualität noch belegt es, dass sich ihre Historien direkt austauschen lassen.

Kernaussagen

  • Das Archiv enthält dekotierte Unternehmen und hilft dadurch, Survivorship Bias in der historischen Aktienforschung zu verringern.
  • Die täglichen Daten enden im März 2018 und können nicht aktualisiert werden.
  • Preise sind um Splits und Dividenden bereinigt, doch bei illiquiden Aktien können Tage fehlen.
  • Ticker- und Datumsfilter ermöglichen gezielte Stichproben; jährliche Zählungen helfen, die Abdeckung zu prüfen.

Schlagwörter

Volltext
# dataset_card.py


```py
# ---
# jupyter:
#   jupytext:
#     cell_metadata_filter: -all
#     text_representation:
#       extension: .py
#       format_name: percent
#       format_version: '1.3'
#       jupytext_version: 1.19.3
#   kernelspec:
#     display_name: Python 3 (ipykernel)
#     language: python
#     name: python3
# ---

# %% [markdown]
# # US Equities Dataset
#
# Historical US equity data from NASDAQ Data Link (formerly Quandl Wiki Prices).
#
# | Property | Value |
# |----------|-------|
# | **Provider** | NASDAQ Data Link |
# | **Asset Class** | US Equities |
# | **Frequency** | Daily |
# | **Symbols** | 3,199 |
# | **Coverage** | 1962-2018 |
# | **Size** | ~662 MB |
# | **API Key** | `QUANDL_API_KEY` (free) |
# | **Loader** | `load_us_equities()` |
#
# **NOTE**: This is a **frozen dataset** ending in 2018. It is not updateable.

# %%
"""US Equities - download, explore, and update workflow."""

import os
from pathlib import Path

import polars as pl
from dotenv import load_dotenv

# Load environment variables
load_dotenv()

# %% [markdown]
# ## 1. Configuration
#
# US Equities is a **frozen dataset** from NASDAQ Data Link (formerly Quandl Wiki Prices).
# No local configuration file - the dataset is downloaded as-is.
#
# ### Dataset Characteristics
#
# - **Survivorship-bias free**: Includes delisted companies
# - **Coverage**: 1962-01-02 to 2018-03-27 (frozen)
# - **Adjusted prices**: Split and dividend adjusted
# - **Data quality**: Some gaps for illiquid stocks

# %%
print("=== US Equities Configuration ===")
print("Provider: NASDAQ Data Link (Wiki Prices)")
print("Coverage: 1962-01-02 to 2018-03-27 (FROZEN)")
print("Symbols: ~3,199 US companies")
print("Frequency: Daily OHLCV")
print("\nThis dataset is not updateable - frozen at March 2018.")

# %% [markdown]
# ## 2. API Key Setup
#
# NASDAQ Data Link requires a free API key.
#
# ### Getting an API Key
#
# 1. Go to [NASDAQ Data Link](https://data.nasdaq.com/sign-up)
# 2. Create a free account
# 3. Navigate to **Account Settings** → **API Key**
# 4. Add to your `.env` file in the repository root:
#
# ```bash
# QUANDL_API_KEY=your-api-key-here
# ```
#
# **Note**: The environment variable is `QUANDL_API_KEY` (legacy name) or
# `NASDAQ_DATA_LINK_API_KEY` (new name). Both are supported.

# %%
# Verify API key is configured
api_key = os.getenv("QUANDL_API_KEY") or os.getenv("NASDAQ_DATA_LINK_API_KEY")
if api_key:
    print(f"API Key: {api_key[:8]}... (configured)")
else:
    print("WARNING: No API key found in environment")
    print("Get free key at: https://data.nasdaq.com/sign-up")
    print("Add to .env file: QUANDL_API_KEY=your-key-here")

# %% [markdown]
# ## 3. Download Data
#
# This is a one-time download. The dataset is frozen and won't be updated.


# %%
def download_us_equities(dry_run: bool = False, force: bool = False):
    """Download US Equities dataset from NASDAQ Data Link.

    Args:
        dry_run: If True, show what would be downloaded without doing it
        force: If True, re-download even if data exists
    """
    from ml4t.data.providers.wiki_prices import WikiPricesProvider

    from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH

    api_key = os.getenv("QUANDL_API_KEY") or os.getenv("NASDAQ_DATA_LINK_API_KEY")
    if not api_key and not dry_run:
        raise ValueError(
            "No API key found. Set QUANDL_API_KEY environment variable.\n"
            "Get free key at: https://data.nasdaq.com/sign-up"
        )

    output_dir = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "equities" / "market" / "us_equities"
    output_path = output_dir / "us_equities.parquet"

    print("=== US Equities Download ===")
    print("Dataset: Quandl WIKI Prices")
    print("Coverage: 1962-01-02 to 2018-03-27 (frozen)")
    print("Symbols: ~3,199 US companies")
    print("Estimated size: ~650 MB")
    print(f"Output: {output_path}")

    if dry_run:
        print("\n[DRY RUN] Would download:")
        print("  - Full Wiki Prices dataset")
        print("  - One-time download (frozen dataset)")
        return

    # Check existing
    if output_path.exists() and not force:
        import polars as pl

        existing = pl.read_parquet(output_path)
        print(f"\nData already exists ({len(existing):,} rows).")
        print("Use force=True to re-download.")
        return

    output_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)

    print("\nDownloading... (this may take several minutes)\n")

    downloaded_path = WikiPricesProvider.download(
        output_path=output_dir,
        api_key=api_key,
    )

    # Rename to canonical name if needed
    if downloaded_path.name != "us_equities.parquet":
        final_path = output_dir / "us_equities.parquet"
        downloaded_path.rename(final_path)
        downloaded_path = final_path

    # Print stats
    provider = WikiPricesProvider(parquet_path=downloaded_path)
    stats = provider.get_dataset_stats()

    print("\n=== Complete ===")
    print(f"Total rows: {stats['total_rows']:,}")
    print(f"Symbols: {stats['total_symbols']}")
    print(f"Date range: {stats['date_range'][0]} to {stats['date_range'][1]}")
    print(f"File size: {stats['file_size_mb']:.1f} MB")
    print(f"Saved to: {downloaded_path}")


# %% [markdown]
# ### Download (One-Time)

# %%
# Uncomment to download
# download_us_equities()

# %% [markdown]
# ### Dry Run (Preview)

# %%
download_us_equities(dry_run=True)

# %% [markdown]
# ## 4. Load and Explore
#
# Once downloaded, use the loader throughout the book:

# %%
from data import load_us_equities

# Load all US equities data
df = load_us_equities()

print(f"Shape: {df.shape}")
print(f"Symbols: {df['symbol'].n_unique()}")
print(f"Date range: {df['timestamp'].min()} to {df['timestamp'].max()}")
print(f"Memory: {df.estimated_size('mb'):.1f} MB")

# %%
# Schema
df.schema

# %%
# Preview
df.head(10)

# %% [markdown]
# ### Coverage by Year

# %%
# Active symbols per year
yearly = (
    df.with_columns(pl.col("timestamp").dt.year().alias("year"))
    .group_by("year")
    .agg(
        pl.col("symbol").n_unique().alias("n_symbols"),
        pl.len().alias("n_observations"),
    )
    .sort("year")
)
print("Coverage by year (last 20):")
yearly.tail(20)

# %% [markdown]
# ### Top Symbols by Volume

# %%
# Top symbols by average daily volume
top_volume = (
    df.group_by("symbol")
    .agg(
        pl.col("volume").mean().alias("avg_volume"),
        pl.col("timestamp").min().alias("first_date"),
        pl.col("timestamp").max().alias("last_date"),
        pl.len().alias("n_days"),
    )
    .sort("avg_volume", descending=True)
)
top_volume.head(20)

# %% [markdown]
# ## 5. Data Profile

# %%
from ml4t.data.storage.data_profile import load_profile

from utils import ML4T_DATA_PATH
from utils.paths import display_path

profile_path = ML4T_DATA_PATH / "equities" / "market" / "us_equities" / "us_equities_profile.json"
profile = load_profile(profile_path)

if profile is None:
    print(f"No profile at {display_path(profile_path)}")
    print(
        "Profiles are written next to the data by whatever builds the dataset, through\n"
        "ml4t.data.storage.data_profile. There is no separate profile-generating script,\n"
        "and nothing in this notebook writes one."
    )
else:
    print("=== US Equities Profile ===")
    print(f"Written by {profile.source}")
    print(profile.summary())

# %% [markdown]
# ## 6. Loader Options
#
# The loader supports filtering by symbols and date range:

# %%
# Specific symbols
tech_stocks = load_us_equities(symbols=["AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOGL"])
print(f"Tech stocks: {tech_stocks.shape}")

# %%
# Date range
recent = load_us_equities(start_date="2015-01-01")
print(f"2015 onwards: {recent.shape}")

# %%
# Combined filters
filtered = load_us_equities(
    symbols=["AAPL", "MSFT", "AMZN", "GOOGL", "FB"], start_date="2010-01-01", end_date="2018-12-31"
)
print(f"5 tech stocks, 2010-2018: {filtered.shape}")

# %% [markdown]
# ## 7. Documentation
#
# ### NASDAQ Data Link
# - [NASDAQ Data Link](https://data.nasdaq.com/)
# - [Wiki Prices Documentation](https://data.nasdaq.com/databases/WIKIP)
# - [API Documentation](https://docs.data.nasdaq.com/)
#
# ### Dataset Columns
#
# | Column | Description |
# |--------|-------------|
# | `date` | Trading date |
# | `symbol` | Ticker symbol |
# | `open` | Opening price (adjusted) |
# | `high` | High price (adjusted) |
# | `low` | Low price (adjusted) |
# | `close` | Closing price (adjusted) |
# | `volume` | Trading volume |
# | `adj_open` | Split/dividend adjusted open |
# | `adj_high` | Split/dividend adjusted high |
# | `adj_low` | Split/dividend adjusted low |
# | `adj_close` | Split/dividend adjusted close |
# | `adj_volume` | Adjusted volume |
# | `ex_dividend` | Ex-dividend amount |
# | `split_ratio` | Stock split ratio |
#
# ### Data Quality Notes
#
# - **Survivorship-bias free**: Includes delisted companies
# - **Adjusted prices**: Split and dividend adjusted
# - **Coverage gaps**: Some illiquid stocks have missing days
# - **End date**: March 27, 2018 (dataset frozen)

# %% [markdown]
# ## 8. Updating Data
#
# **This dataset is NOT updateable.**
#
# The Wiki Prices dataset was frozen in March 2018 when Quandl discontinued
# free maintenance. The data cannot be extended beyond 2018-03-27.
#
# ### Alternatives for Recent Data
#
# For US equity data after 2018, consider:
#
# | Provider | Coverage | Cost |
# |----------|----------|------|
# | AlgoSeek | 2017-2021 | Ships with this repository |
# | Yahoo Finance | Current | Free |
# | Polygon.io | Current | Paid |
# | Tiingo | Current | Freemium |
#
# The AlgoSeek S&P 500 daily bars (638 symbols, 2017-2021) are bundled at
# `data/equities/market/sp500/daily_bars.parquet`; load them with
# `load_sp500_daily_bars()`.

# %% [markdown]
# ## Summary
#
# | Item | Value |
# |------|-------|
# | Symbols | 3,199 US companies |
# | Frequency | Daily OHLCV |
# | Coverage | 1962-2018 (frozen) |
# | Provider | NASDAQ Data Link (free API key) |
# | Loader | `load_us_equities(symbols, start_date, end_date)` |
#
# **Primary use**: Historical backtests, ML training on pre-2019 data.
# **Limitation**: Frozen dataset - ends March 2018.

```

Vollständig mit Quellenangabe unter der Lizenz der Quelle angezeigt. Lizenz: MIT

Diese Zusammenfassung wurde vom Research-Agenten von Stratmill anhand des Originals verfasst; sie ist keine Kopie der Quelle.