Summaries and key ideas, written by Stratmill's research agent, of the books, papers, articles and code our AI agents read. Each page links to its original.
1,232 documents
This weekly report reviews BTC and ETH derivatives as crypto prices weakened against steadier US risk-on equities. It describes BTC breaking below a previously observed support level, declining sentiment, deeply negative BTC perpetual funding, and volatility…
This market commentary describes crypto options positioning as traders anticipated the start of spot ETH ETF trading. It reports resilient bullish sentiment despite negative headlines, falling realized and implied volatility, and steeper contango in ETH’s…
This weekly market recap describes a steep decline in precious metals followed by a crypto selloff, with Bitcoin revisiting a cited price level and liquidations reaching their highest level since a prior episode. It uses perpetual funding, futures-implied…
The article explains why crypto option prices can be shown using either spot or forward values. It describes the cash-and-carry basis as a delta-neutral position whose returns reflect stablecoin financing yields, and argues that these yields influence the…
This podcast summary connects stronger US macroeconomic data and higher Treasury yields with risk reduction across markets, including a crypto selloff through support levels followed by a partial recovery. The speakers discuss competing views on the macro…
The note presents a bullish Bitcoin view based on a four-hour chart rebound and breaks above several resistance zones, including a stated move past $62,000. It links the outlook to anticipated institutional flows and proposes an options position expiring…
This market recap describes a sharp rally in Bitcoin and Ether following a disruption to the summer volatility lull. It associates the move with a government bond buyback announcement, renewed discussion of a debasement trade, and political attention to…
This weekly recap surveys derivatives indicators for Bitcoin and Ether during a period of sideways spot trading. It reports that futures yields declined to their lowest levels of 2025 and that Bitcoin funding remained well below its mid-January highs. Ether…
This podcast description outlines a discussion of how Federal Reserve policy expectations, oil prices, inflation expectations, and real yields may affect Bitcoin and other risk assets. It also considers equity market rotation and whether weakening interest…
The commentary examines Bitcoin’s narrow trading range after a sharp decline and the resulting change in volatility. It compares recent realized volatility with earlier periods of greater price movement, noting that realized volatility has eased while…
This essay applies aggregation theory to decentralized finance, distinguishing protocols that provide infrastructure from interfaces that connect users to multiple services. It argues that a user-focused platform could simplify onboarding and capture…
This commentary compares the volatility smiles of BTC and ETH options, focusing on the relative implied volatility of out-of-the-money puts and calls. It uses the SABR rho parameter and the 25-delta risk reversal as measures of skew. Both markets showed…
This commentary examines a divergence in crypto derivatives: ETH perpetual swap funding was strongly positive over the reported week, while BTC funding stayed near zero. Funding is a recurring payment between long and short positions intended to keep a…
This explainer distinguishes futures by how they settle at expiry. Cash-settled contracts credit or debit profit and loss against a reference price, while asset-settled contracts require delivery of the underlying asset and payment of the contract value. The…
This case study recounts the 2018 Oyster Pearl token exploit and uses it to examine the limits of trust minimization in crypto projects. A privileged director function remained able to reopen the crowdsale after launch, mint new tokens, and withdraw funds.…
This market update reviews a sharp crypto sell-off and rebound, then examines what the price action implied for volatility and options positioning. It reports realized volatility reaching 50% for BTC and 68% for ETH during the turbulent session, with implied…
The commentary explains how scheduled digital option vault auctions can shape implied volatility in crypto options. When market makers know auction timing and size in advance, they may sell options beforehand, then seek to buy options from the vault at a…
This market commentary interprets Bitcoin options activity around a sharp price bounce. It describes call buying and call-spread purchases across several expiries, alongside put selling, as directional upside demand. The flows are characterized as positive…
The document links a short-term bullish view on Bitcoin to a defined-risk call spread. The proposed position buys a call at a lower strike and sells a call at a higher strike with the same expiration. Its example uses July options: the trade costs a net…
This weekly analytics recap summarizes bitcoin and ether futures yields, perpetual swap funding, option volatility, risk reversals, and volatility surfaces. Futures yields were positive across maturities, with shorter bitcoin tenors showing higher annualized…
This monthly market report reviews the late-2020 bitcoin and ether rally alongside exchange activity, options turnover, open interest, put-call ratios, and implied volatility. It reports substantial growth in trading and options open interest, with December…
This commentary compares bitcoin and ether option markets using at-the-money implied volatility and the term structure of volatility skew. In the cited snapshot, ether’s at-the-money implied volatility was above bitcoin’s, while both markets showed a…
The commentary tracks bitcoin options around a consumer price index release and a sharp spot rally. It describes a pre-release decline in implied volatility, including heavy near-the-money call offers, followed by a steep drop in short-dated volatility after…
This trade note proposes a call ratio spread for a bullish view on MATIC, using June 7, 2024 options. The example buys one out-of-the-money call at a lower strike and sells two calls at a higher strike with the same expiry. The article states a net debit of…