The document addresses the expected value of an asset's time average when the price follows geometric Brownian motion, in the context of arithmetic Asian option pricing. The response derives the risk-neutral expected asset price at each future time as its…
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10,263 documents
The document considers an asset-backed security with a long legal maturity and an earlier anticipated repayment date. Missing that date triggers a higher interest rate and a full cash sweep. It asks how to interpret those terms when valuing the debt,…
The document describes estimating a risk-neutral density as a weighted mixture of normal kernels centered on a strike grid. The weights are constrained to be nonnegative and sum to one, and are fitted to observed put prices by minimizing pricing errors. It…
The document offers career-development advice to a mathematics PhD with derivatives valuation experience who wants demonstrable C++ work implementing financial models. The answer suggests exploring public repositories focused on topics such as option pricing…
The note proposes a market-mechanics hypothesis about how options open interest could relate to underlying price moves. It suggests that large put positions might behave like support and large call positions like resistance, and that some short option…
This note motivates bivariate time-series models for quarterly stock returns and dividends. It highlights features a model may need to capture: managers have discretion over payouts, dividends tend to remain stable or rise modestly, and cuts are often…
The document considers an exchange-traded product combining a butterfly payoff with a double no-touch condition: the payoff follows a butterfly profile if the underlying stays between two barriers until maturity, and becomes zero if either barrier is…
The document explains a leveraged ETF structure using an unleveraged basket plus a total return swap (TRS). The fund holds index exposure directly and receives additional index returns through the swap, while paying the dealer a financing rate such as LIBOR…
The document addresses poor Monte Carlo pricing accuracy for deep out-of-the-money options under a stochastic volatility model. The question focuses on Euler simulation of the Heston process and asks whether importance sampling can reduce variance and speed…
The discussion examines option price changes near expiration that appear larger than delta and theta alone would suggest. It explains that gamma exposure is most pronounced near at-the-money strikes and presents gamma scalping as a way to manage a long gamma…
The document describes how to turn a piecewise linear profit-and-loss graph at expiration into a portfolio of calls, puts, and possibly cash or the underlying. It proposes placing option strikes at the graph’s breakpoints, then solving a linear system whose…
The document explains why an in-the-money call generally cannot trade below the underlying stock price minus the strike, using a no-arbitrage argument. If it did, an investor could sell the stock, buy the underpriced call, and invest the strike amount. The…
The document addresses how to value American options on SPY when dividends are present. It challenges the proposed shortcut of taking the maximum of two European option values, one tied to the ex-dividend date and one to final expiry. An American option can…
The document examines how to reproduce longer-maturity continuously compounded zero rates from par OIS rates in a textbook example. Short maturities can be converted from their quoted compounding conventions directly, but the two-year and five-year…
The document poses an implied-volatility problem for an American call when a known dividend is paid before expiration and interest rates are zero. Because early exercise may be optimal immediately before the ex-dividend date, the contract can be viewed as…
The document raises a practical issue in constructing an implied volatility curve for ETF options during high-frequency intraday trading. Its premise is that option quotes may update faster than the ETF cash price, so calculating implied volatility from the…
The document compares replication and no-arbitrage arguments for pricing a forward on an asset that pays no income. With a single fixed interest rate, holding the asset can be replicated by a forward position and cash, yielding a forward price that grows the…
The document asks why risk-neutral valuation discounts cash flows using a rate described as risk-free, even when interest rates themselves can be stochastic. The response offers a market-practice explanation centered on collateralized derivative trades:…
The document examines how business-day rolling of bond payments can affect coupon amounts, accrued interest, and yield to maturity. It contrasts unadjusted dates, often paired with 30/360 or Actual/Actual ICMA conventions for fixed-coupon bonds, with…
For sparse, illiquid index option chains, the response recommends cleaning and fitting prices or total variance rather than removing implied-volatility outliers and interpolating the remaining points. In option-price space, useful restrictions are clearer:…
This exchange examines a numerical discrepancy in a paper’s purported exact formula for pricing an arithmetic-average Asian option. The questioner reports difficulty reproducing a stated value and asks whether the paper or their Monte Carlo implementation is…
The document discusses common issues when valuing SOFR interest rate swaps in QuantLib. One problem is missing historical overnight index fixings: when valuation occurs after a swap has begun, the index needs the past observations required to determine…
The document presents a replication problem involving the conversion of an implied volatility surface into a local volatility surface using Dupire’s formula. The author builds a smooth implied surface by parameterizing total implied variance against time and…
The document asks how to value the asset return leg of a total return swap referencing a convertible bond when a convertible bond mark-to-market pricer is available. It proposes decomposing the leg into coupon cash flows, the change in bond value at swap…