Hypotheses
Hyperliquid Volatility-Feedback Transitions on XLM, ETC, TRX and XMR
Original research hypothesis: test asymmetric volatility-feedback episodes independently on four Hyperliquid perpetuals using synchronized 4-HOUR bars. Short when a multi-day volatility expansion accompanies falling…
Hypothesis
Original research hypothesis: test asymmetric volatility-feedback episodes independently on four Hyperliquid perpetuals using synchronized 4-HOUR bars. Short when a multi-day volatility expansion accompanies falling prices; buy only when volatility contracts after a previously elevated-volatility state and prices have begun recovering. The proposed mechanism is delayed risk-budget selling during expansion and gradual risk re-entry during normalization, not a claim that an isolated crash candle must reverse. Market orders execute at the completed signal bar close, the capability-registry equivalent of next-bar-open execution on a continuous venue. Protective stops trigger intrabar in the platform; no exchange-hosted protection, hedge mode, atomic basket fills or selectable same-bar policy is required. Use all available joint history, reporting each instrument and directional arm separately. All capture figures and event rates below are untested predictions.
Backtest and paper results are hypothetical. Trading involves risk of loss.